Amid the US-Iran conflict that escalated in late February 2026 with US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets, diplomatic initiatives for a high-level meeting—mediated by Pakistan in Islamabad—have collapsed, as Iran rejected direct talks with US officials late last week. President Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum on April 4 demanding Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz, amid a joint search for a missing US pilot from a downed jet. US priorities center on halting Iran's nuclear program, missile development, and proxy militias, countered by Tehran's calls for sanctions relief. With Trump's deadline expiring April 6, traders eye escalation risks or de-escalation signals like ceasefire gestures, as no meeting has occurred despite March mediation hopes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourRéunion diplomatique entre les États-Unis et l'Iran d'ici le... ?
Réunion diplomatique entre les États-Unis et l'Iran d'ici le... ?
$1,330,572 Vol.
30 juin 2026
10 avril
4%
30 avril
21%
30 juin
56%
$1,330,572 Vol.
10 avril
$97,175 Vol.
4%
30 avril
$198,821 Vol.
21%
30 juin
$49,567 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the US-Iran conflict that escalated in late February 2026 with US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets, diplomatic initiatives for a high-level meeting—mediated by Pakistan in Islamabad—have collapsed, as Iran rejected direct talks with US officials late last week. President Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum on April 4 demanding Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz, amid a joint search for a missing US pilot from a downed jet. US priorities center on halting Iran's nuclear program, missile development, and proxy militias, countered by Tehran's calls for sanctions relief. With Trump's deadline expiring April 6, traders eye escalation risks or de-escalation signals like ceasefire gestures, as no meeting has occurred despite March mediation hopes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Volume
$1,330,572Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the US-Iran conflict that escalated in late February 2026 with US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets, diplomatic initiatives for a high-level meeting—mediated by Pakistan in Islamabad—have collapsed, as Iran rejected direct talks with US officials late last week. President Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum on April 4 demanding Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz, amid a joint search for a missing US pilot from a downed jet. US priorities center on halting Iran's nuclear program, missile development, and proxy militias, countered by Tehran's calls for sanctions relief. With Trump's deadline expiring April 6, traders eye escalation risks or de-escalation signals like ceasefire gestures, as no meeting has occurred despite March mediation hopes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,330,572Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the US-Iran conflict that escalated in late February 2026 with US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets, diplomatic initiatives for a high-level meeting—mediated by Pakistan in Islamabad—have collapsed, as Iran rejected direct talks with US officials late last week. President Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum on April 4 demanding Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz, amid a joint search for a missing US pilot from a downed jet. US priorities center on halting Iran's nuclear program, missile development, and proxy militias, countered by Tehran's calls for sanctions relief. With Trump's deadline expiring April 6, traders eye escalation risks or de-escalation signals like ceasefire gestures, as no meeting has occurred despite March mediation hopes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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