Amid the US-Iran war entering its fourth week, indirect diplomatic efforts via Pakistani and regional mediators have stalled without a direct bilateral meeting. The US sent Iran a 15-point ceasefire proposal on March 24 demanding nuclear stockpile removal, proxy force halts, and sanctions relief concessions, but Tehran rejected it March 25 with a counterproposal seeking reparations and Israeli pullbacks from contested areas. President Trump insists negotiations progress, yet Iranian officials and parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf denied direct talks as of March 29. Islamabad mediation involving Pakistan, Turkiye, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia persists, as Secretary Rubio forecasts operations ending in weeks sans ground troops; traders eye Strait of Hormuz deadlines for escalation risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourRéunion diplomatique entre les États-Unis et l'Iran d'ici le... ?
Réunion diplomatique entre les États-Unis et l'Iran d'ici le... ?
$1,012,873 Vol.
31 mars
4%
10 avril
25%
30 avril
47%
30 juin
76%
$1,012,873 Vol.
31 mars
4%
10 avril
25%
30 avril
47%
30 juin
76%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the US-Iran war entering its fourth week, indirect diplomatic efforts via Pakistani and regional mediators have stalled without a direct bilateral meeting. The US sent Iran a 15-point ceasefire proposal on March 24 demanding nuclear stockpile removal, proxy force halts, and sanctions relief concessions, but Tehran rejected it March 25 with a counterproposal seeking reparations and Israeli pullbacks from contested areas. President Trump insists negotiations progress, yet Iranian officials and parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf denied direct talks as of March 29. Islamabad mediation involving Pakistan, Turkiye, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia persists, as Secretary Rubio forecasts operations ending in weeks sans ground troops; traders eye Strait of Hormuz deadlines for escalation risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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