Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching their first ballistic missile strikes on Israel since the onset of the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran, prompting threats to disrupt Red Sea shipping lanes vital for $1 trillion in annual trade. US Central Command announced precision airstrikes on Houthi drone sites, radar installations, and troop concentrations in Yemen as recently as late March to counter these threats, continuing sporadic operations despite President Trump's prior halt following a deal that curbed earlier Houthi attacks on merchant vessels. Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated US operations against Iran could conclude within weeks, while Houthi entry raises risks of broader proxy escalation or diplomatic pushback. Traders monitor potential Red Sea blockades or further barrages that could trigger intensified US retaliatory strikes before month-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$367,698 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
31 mars
7%
$367,698 Vol.
31 mars
$267,904 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching their first ballistic missile strikes on Israel since the onset of the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran, prompting threats to disrupt Red Sea shipping lanes vital for $1 trillion in annual trade. US Central Command announced precision airstrikes on Houthi drone sites, radar installations, and troop concentrations in Yemen as recently as late March to counter these threats, continuing sporadic operations despite President Trump's prior halt following a deal that curbed earlier Houthi attacks on merchant vessels. Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated US operations against Iran could conclude within weeks, while Houthi entry raises risks of broader proxy escalation or diplomatic pushback. Traders monitor potential Red Sea blockades or further barrages that could trigger intensified US retaliatory strikes before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Marché ouvert : Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$367,698Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching their first ballistic missile strikes on Israel since the onset of the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran, prompting threats to disrupt Red Sea shipping lanes vital for $1 trillion in annual trade. US Central Command announced precision airstrikes on Houthi drone sites, radar installations, and troop concentrations in Yemen as recently as late March to counter these threats, continuing sporadic operations despite President Trump's prior halt following a deal that curbed earlier Houthi attacks on merchant vessels. Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated US operations against Iran could conclude within weeks, while Houthi entry raises risks of broader proxy escalation or diplomatic pushback. Traders monitor potential Red Sea blockades or further barrages that could trigger intensified US retaliatory strikes before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$367,698Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching their first ballistic missile strikes on Israel since the onset of the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran, prompting threats to disrupt Red Sea shipping lanes vital for $1 trillion in annual trade. US Central Command announced precision airstrikes on Houthi drone sites, radar installations, and troop concentrations in Yemen as recently as late March to counter these threats, continuing sporadic operations despite President Trump's prior halt following a deal that curbed earlier Houthi attacks on merchant vessels. Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated US operations against Iran could conclude within weeks, while Houthi entry raises risks of broader proxy escalation or diplomatic pushback. Traders monitor potential Red Sea blockades or further barrages that could trigger intensified US retaliatory strikes before month-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes