Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching ballistic missiles at Israel—their first direct attack since the onset of US-Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities—prompting warnings of further retaliation against US vessels in the Red Sea if used for operations against Iran. US Central Command released footage of a precision airstrike on Houthi concentrations in western Yemen on March 26, with unconfirmed reports of additional strikes near Sanaa days later, amid a deployment of 3,500 extra US troops to the Middle East. Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated US military operations against Iran could conclude within weeks, as traders assess Houthi threats to shipping lanes and potential for intensified airstrikes or naval actions to restore deterrence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$379,232 Vol.
31 mars 2026
31 mars
1%
$379,232 Vol.
31 mars
$279,438 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching ballistic missiles at Israel—their first direct attack since the onset of US-Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities—prompting warnings of further retaliation against US vessels in the Red Sea if used for operations against Iran. US Central Command released footage of a precision airstrike on Houthi concentrations in western Yemen on March 26, with unconfirmed reports of additional strikes near Sanaa days later, amid a deployment of 3,500 extra US troops to the Middle East. Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated US military operations against Iran could conclude within weeks, as traders assess Houthi threats to shipping lanes and potential for intensified airstrikes or naval actions to restore deterrence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Marché ouvert : Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$379,232Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching ballistic missiles at Israel—their first direct attack since the onset of US-Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities—prompting warnings of further retaliation against US vessels in the Red Sea if used for operations against Iran. US Central Command released footage of a precision airstrike on Houthi concentrations in western Yemen on March 26, with unconfirmed reports of additional strikes near Sanaa days later, amid a deployment of 3,500 extra US troops to the Middle East. Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated US military operations against Iran could conclude within weeks, as traders assess Houthi threats to shipping lanes and potential for intensified airstrikes or naval actions to restore deterrence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$379,232Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching ballistic missiles at Israel—their first direct attack since the onset of US-Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities—prompting warnings of further retaliation against US vessels in the Red Sea if used for operations against Iran. US Central Command released footage of a precision airstrike on Houthi concentrations in western Yemen on March 26, with unconfirmed reports of additional strikes near Sanaa days later, amid a deployment of 3,500 extra US troops to the Middle East. Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated US military operations against Iran could conclude within weeks, as traders assess Houthi threats to shipping lanes and potential for intensified airstrikes or naval actions to restore deterrence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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