The US-Israel aerial campaign against Iranian military infrastructure, launched February 28, 2026, with nearly 900 initial strikes, has escalated through recent US bunker-buster attacks on ammo depots and Iranian missile barrages on Israel, yet no US ground forces have entered Iran as of April 1, prompting the March 31 market resolution to "No." Pentagon surges of elite units—Marines, 82nd Airborne, and over 10,000 troops—position assets near Kharg Island oil terminal and uranium sites in Isfahan and Natanz signal preparations for potential ground operations to secure assets or degrade capabilities. Iran vows to destroy invading forces, while President Trump considers next moves post-rejected peace proposals, with an April 6 Strait of Hormuz deadline looming as a key escalation trigger.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLes forces américaines entrent en Iran par... ?
Les forces américaines entrent en Iran par... ?
$69,292,831 Vol.
1 mars 2026
31 mars
<1%
30 avril
56%
31 décembre
63%
$69,292,831 Vol.
31 mars
$46,556,092 Vol.
<1%
30 avril
$13,081,198 Vol.
56%
31 décembre
$7,583,208 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.The US-Israel aerial campaign against Iranian military infrastructure, launched February 28, 2026, with nearly 900 initial strikes, has escalated through recent US bunker-buster attacks on ammo depots and Iranian missile barrages on Israel, yet no US ground forces have entered Iran as of April 1, prompting the March 31 market resolution to "No." Pentagon surges of elite units—Marines, 82nd Airborne, and over 10,000 troops—position assets near Kharg Island oil terminal and uranium sites in Isfahan and Natanz signal preparations for potential ground operations to secure assets or degrade capabilities. Iran vows to destroy invading forces, while President Trump considers next moves post-rejected peace proposals, with an April 6 Strait of Hormuz deadline looming as a key escalation trigger.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
Volume
$69,292,831Marché ouvert
Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.The US-Israel aerial campaign against Iranian military infrastructure, launched February 28, 2026, with nearly 900 initial strikes, has escalated through recent US bunker-buster attacks on ammo depots and Iranian missile barrages on Israel, yet no US ground forces have entered Iran as of April 1, prompting the March 31 market resolution to "No." Pentagon surges of elite units—Marines, 82nd Airborne, and over 10,000 troops—position assets near Kharg Island oil terminal and uranium sites in Isfahan and Natanz signal preparations for potential ground operations to secure assets or degrade capabilities. Iran vows to destroy invading forces, while President Trump considers next moves post-rejected peace proposals, with an April 6 Strait of Hormuz deadline looming as a key escalation trigger.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$69,292,831Marché ouvert
Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The US-Israel aerial campaign against Iranian military infrastructure, launched February 28, 2026, with nearly 900 initial strikes, has escalated through recent US bunker-buster attacks on ammo depots and Iranian missile barrages on Israel, yet no US ground forces have entered Iran as of April 1, prompting the March 31 market resolution to "No." Pentagon surges of elite units—Marines, 82nd Airborne, and over 10,000 troops—position assets near Kharg Island oil terminal and uranium sites in Isfahan and Natanz signal preparations for potential ground operations to secure assets or degrade capabilities. Iran vows to destroy invading forces, while President Trump considers next moves post-rejected peace proposals, with an April 6 Strait of Hormuz deadline looming as a key escalation trigger.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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