Tennessee's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including a 67.5% win for incumbent Chuck Fleischmann in 2024. Fleischmann, who has represented the Chattanooga-centered East Tennessee seat since 2011, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Anna Golladay secured her party's nomination. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, Decision Desk HQ, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The 94.5% Republican implied probability in the market aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited scope for an upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTN-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TN-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$37,273 Vol.
$37,273 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
95%
Parti démocrate
6%
$37,273 Vol.
$37,273 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$20,731 Vol.
95%
Parti démocrate
$16,542 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including a 67.5% win for incumbent Chuck Fleischmann in 2024. Fleischmann, who has represented the Chattanooga-centered East Tennessee seat since 2011, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Anna Golladay secured her party's nomination. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, Decision Desk HQ, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The 94.5% Republican implied probability in the market aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$37,273Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including a 67.5% win for incumbent Chuck Fleischmann in 2024. Fleischmann, who has represented the Chattanooga-centered East Tennessee seat since 2011, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Anna Golladay secured her party's nomination. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, Decision Desk HQ, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The 94.5% Republican implied probability in the market aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,273Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including a 67.5% win for incumbent Chuck Fleischmann in 2024. Fleischmann, who has represented the Chattanooga-centered East Tennessee seat since 2011, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Anna Golladay secured her party's nomination. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, Decision Desk HQ, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The 94.5% Republican implied probability in the market aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited scope for an upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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