Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's substantial double-digit leads in the latest polling averages for Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District House race underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic Party, reflecting her incumbency advantage, strong fundraising edge, and the district's consistent Democratic lean in suburban Philadelphia. Recent developments over the past month show no momentum shifts for Republican challenger Robert Bresnahan Jr., with steady polls from outlets like Cook Political Report rating the seat as likely Democratic amid high early voting turnout. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues for Scanlon, or an unforeseen Republican national wave on election night November 5, the outcome faces significant barriers to reversal, aligning with historical incumbent re-election rates above 90% in safe seats.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPA-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
PA-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti démocrate
93%
Parti républicain
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
93%
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's substantial double-digit leads in the latest polling averages for Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District House race underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic Party, reflecting her incumbency advantage, strong fundraising edge, and the district's consistent Democratic lean in suburban Philadelphia. Recent developments over the past month show no momentum shifts for Republican challenger Robert Bresnahan Jr., with steady polls from outlets like Cook Political Report rating the seat as likely Democratic amid high early voting turnout. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues for Scanlon, or an unforeseen Republican national wave on election night November 5, the outcome faces significant barriers to reversal, aligning with historical incumbent re-election rates above 90% in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's substantial double-digit leads in the latest polling averages for Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District House race underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic Party, reflecting her incumbency advantage, strong fundraising edge, and the district's consistent Democratic lean in suburban Philadelphia. Recent developments over the past month show no momentum shifts for Republican challenger Robert Bresnahan Jr., with steady polls from outlets like Cook Political Report rating the seat as likely Democratic amid high early voting turnout. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues for Scanlon, or an unforeseen Republican national wave on election night November 5, the outcome faces significant barriers to reversal, aligning with historical incumbent re-election rates above 90% in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's substantial double-digit leads in the latest polling averages for Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District House race underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic Party, reflecting her incumbency advantage, strong fundraising edge, and the district's consistent Democratic lean in suburban Philadelphia. Recent developments over the past month show no momentum shifts for Republican challenger Robert Bresnahan Jr., with steady polls from outlets like Cook Political Report rating the seat as likely Democratic amid high early voting turnout. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues for Scanlon, or an unforeseen Republican national wave on election night November 5, the outcome faces significant barriers to reversal, aligning with historical incumbent re-election rates above 90% in safe seats.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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