Incumbent Republican Tony Wied's commanding position in the R+8 leaning Wisconsin 8th Congressional District underpins trader consensus pricing GOP victory at 80%, reflecting his 2024 general election win over Democrat Kristin Lyerly by 15 points and uniform Safe/Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Wied faces no Republican primary challengers on August 11, while Democrats head to their first district primary in nearly 20 years against a fragmented field of Rick Crosson, Benjamin Hable, Mark Scheffler, and Katrina DeVille. Early February 2026 campaign finance reports highlighted Wied's $353,000 cash-on-hand advantage over his challengers' combined under $30,000, bolstering hold expectations absent a stronger recruit or national midterm wave.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourWI-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WI-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
80%
Parti démocrate
20%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
80%
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tony Wied's commanding position in the R+8 leaning Wisconsin 8th Congressional District underpins trader consensus pricing GOP victory at 80%, reflecting his 2024 general election win over Democrat Kristin Lyerly by 15 points and uniform Safe/Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Wied faces no Republican primary challengers on August 11, while Democrats head to their first district primary in nearly 20 years against a fragmented field of Rick Crosson, Benjamin Hable, Mark Scheffler, and Katrina DeVille. Early February 2026 campaign finance reports highlighted Wied's $353,000 cash-on-hand advantage over his challengers' combined under $30,000, bolstering hold expectations absent a stronger recruit or national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tony Wied's commanding position in the R+8 leaning Wisconsin 8th Congressional District underpins trader consensus pricing GOP victory at 80%, reflecting his 2024 general election win over Democrat Kristin Lyerly by 15 points and uniform Safe/Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Wied faces no Republican primary challengers on August 11, while Democrats head to their first district primary in nearly 20 years against a fragmented field of Rick Crosson, Benjamin Hable, Mark Scheffler, and Katrina DeVille. Early February 2026 campaign finance reports highlighted Wied's $353,000 cash-on-hand advantage over his challengers' combined under $30,000, bolstering hold expectations absent a stronger recruit or national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tony Wied's commanding position in the R+8 leaning Wisconsin 8th Congressional District underpins trader consensus pricing GOP victory at 80%, reflecting his 2024 general election win over Democrat Kristin Lyerly by 15 points and uniform Safe/Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Wied faces no Republican primary challengers on August 11, while Democrats head to their first district primary in nearly 20 years against a fragmented field of Rick Crosson, Benjamin Hable, Mark Scheffler, and Katrina DeVille. Early February 2026 campaign finance reports highlighted Wied's $353,000 cash-on-hand advantage over his challengers' combined under $30,000, bolstering hold expectations absent a stronger recruit or national midterm wave.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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