Montana's 2nd Congressional District maintains a pronounced Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Troy Downing, who secured roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition and enters the general election cycle with established name recognition and fundraising capacity. Democratic candidates have filed for the June 2 primary but report limited campaign resources and face a district where Republican performance has exceeded national averages by double digits in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with this baseline, though late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the margin in the November 3, 2026, contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMT-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MT-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$6,411 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$2,914 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana's 2nd Congressional District maintains a pronounced Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Troy Downing, who secured roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition and enters the general election cycle with established name recognition and fundraising capacity. Democratic candidates have filed for the June 2 primary but report limited campaign resources and face a district where Republican performance has exceeded national averages by double digits in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with this baseline, though late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the margin in the November 3, 2026, contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$9,324Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana's 2nd Congressional District maintains a pronounced Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Troy Downing, who secured roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition and enters the general election cycle with established name recognition and fundraising capacity. Democratic candidates have filed for the June 2 primary but report limited campaign resources and face a district where Republican performance has exceeded national averages by double digits in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with this baseline, though late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the margin in the November 3, 2026, contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,324Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana's 2nd Congressional District maintains a pronounced Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Troy Downing, who secured roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition and enters the general election cycle with established name recognition and fundraising capacity. Democratic candidates have filed for the June 2 primary but report limited campaign resources and face a district where Republican performance has exceeded national averages by double digits in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with this baseline, though late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the margin in the November 3, 2026, contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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