Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana's 2nd Congressional District race due to the area's consistent R+15 partisan lean and his 32-point victory margin in the prior cycle. Weak Democratic primary contenders have raised under $25,000 combined through March, limiting their ability to build momentum ahead of the June 2 primary, while forecasters rate the seat as solidly Republican. This dynamic aligns with trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A shift could occur if an unusually strong Democratic nominee emerges from the June primary or if late-cycle national conditions produce higher turnout among opposition voters in this eastern Montana district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMT-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MT-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$6,411 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$2,914 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana's 2nd Congressional District race due to the area's consistent R+15 partisan lean and his 32-point victory margin in the prior cycle. Weak Democratic primary contenders have raised under $25,000 combined through March, limiting their ability to build momentum ahead of the June 2 primary, while forecasters rate the seat as solidly Republican. This dynamic aligns with trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A shift could occur if an unusually strong Democratic nominee emerges from the June primary or if late-cycle national conditions produce higher turnout among opposition voters in this eastern Montana district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$9,324Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana's 2nd Congressional District race due to the area's consistent R+15 partisan lean and his 32-point victory margin in the prior cycle. Weak Democratic primary contenders have raised under $25,000 combined through March, limiting their ability to build momentum ahead of the June 2 primary, while forecasters rate the seat as solidly Republican. This dynamic aligns with trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A shift could occur if an unusually strong Democratic nominee emerges from the June primary or if late-cycle national conditions produce higher turnout among opposition voters in this eastern Montana district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,324Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana's 2nd Congressional District race due to the area's consistent R+15 partisan lean and his 32-point victory margin in the prior cycle. Weak Democratic primary contenders have raised under $25,000 combined through March, limiting their ability to build momentum ahead of the June 2 primary, while forecasters rate the seat as solidly Republican. This dynamic aligns with trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A shift could occur if an unusually strong Democratic nominee emerges from the June primary or if late-cycle national conditions produce higher turnout among opposition voters in this eastern Montana district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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