Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana's 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, consistent with the district's R+15 Partisan Voter Index and his 32-point margin in 2024. Forecasters at Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican. Downing faces no primary opposition, while Democratic primary contenders on June 2 have reported minimal fundraising and low voter name recognition. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns and resource disparities present substantial barriers to an upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMT-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MT-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$6,411 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$2,914 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana's 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, consistent with the district's R+15 Partisan Voter Index and his 32-point margin in 2024. Forecasters at Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican. Downing faces no primary opposition, while Democratic primary contenders on June 2 have reported minimal fundraising and low voter name recognition. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns and resource disparities present substantial barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$9,324Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana's 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, consistent with the district's R+15 Partisan Voter Index and his 32-point margin in 2024. Forecasters at Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican. Downing faces no primary opposition, while Democratic primary contenders on June 2 have reported minimal fundraising and low voter name recognition. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns and resource disparities present substantial barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,324Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana's 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, consistent with the district's R+15 Partisan Voter Index and his 32-point margin in 2024. Forecasters at Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat solid or safe Republican. Downing faces no primary opposition, while Democratic primary contenders on June 2 have reported minimal fundraising and low voter name recognition. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns and resource disparities present substantial barriers to an upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes