Trader consensus on Polymarket prices PPP securing 3 seats at 42% and 2 at 36.5% in the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections across seven DPK-vacated constituencies in Incheon, Ulsan, Gyeonggi, Chungcheongnam-do, and Jeonbuk, held alongside local elections. Recent PPP nomination turmoil—including the March 31 en masse resignation of its committee chair and ongoing infighting—has deepened candidate shortages and uncertainty, capping expectations despite potential competitiveness in conservative-leaning districts like Ulsan Nam-gu Gap or Incheon Yeonsu-gu Gap. National polls show DPK at 46% support versus PPP's 19%, reinforcing modest upside; finalized primaries or unified candidates could tip toward 3 wins, while scandals might limit to 2 or fewer.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNombre de sièges remportés par le PPP aux élections partielles en Corée du Sud ?
Nombre de sièges remportés par le PPP aux élections partielles en Corée du Sud ?
3 47%
2 30%
5 14.0%
1 7.4%
$20,576 Vol.
$20,576 Vol.
0
6%
1
7%
2
37%
3
42%
4
7%
5
21%
6+
9%
3 47%
2 30%
5 14.0%
1 7.4%
$20,576 Vol.
$20,576 Vol.
0
6%
1
7%
2
37%
3
42%
4
7%
5
21%
6+
9%
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Marché ouvert : Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices PPP securing 3 seats at 42% and 2 at 36.5% in the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections across seven DPK-vacated constituencies in Incheon, Ulsan, Gyeonggi, Chungcheongnam-do, and Jeonbuk, held alongside local elections. Recent PPP nomination turmoil—including the March 31 en masse resignation of its committee chair and ongoing infighting—has deepened candidate shortages and uncertainty, capping expectations despite potential competitiveness in conservative-leaning districts like Ulsan Nam-gu Gap or Incheon Yeonsu-gu Gap. National polls show DPK at 46% support versus PPP's 19%, reinforcing modest upside; finalized primaries or unified candidates could tip toward 3 wins, while scandals might limit to 2 or fewer.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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