House Speaker Mike Johnson retains his position amid a protracted partial government shutdown centered on Department of Homeland Security funding, now exceeding 40 days, which has heightened tensions within the slim House Republican majority. Over the past 48 hours, Johnson rejected a Senate-passed bipartisan measure as inadequate on immigration enforcement, advancing instead a House continuing resolution for 60 days that faces dim prospects in the upper chamber, prolonging disruptions like unpaid airport security agents. This impasse echoes prior leadership tests, including the failed 2024 motion to vacate by Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, which Johnson survived with Democratic help. No new challenges have emerged in the past 30 days, but conservative discontent over fiscal priorities lingers; traders watch an imminent House floor vote and Senate negotiations for signs of GOP fractures that could trigger a speakership contest before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMike Johnson en tant que conférencier par... ?
Mike Johnson en tant que conférencier par... ?
$93,835 Vol.
31 mars 2026
1%
30 juin 2026
7%
31 décembre 2026
40%
$93,835 Vol.
31 mars 2026
1%
30 juin 2026
7%
31 décembre 2026
40%
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...House Speaker Mike Johnson retains his position amid a protracted partial government shutdown centered on Department of Homeland Security funding, now exceeding 40 days, which has heightened tensions within the slim House Republican majority. Over the past 48 hours, Johnson rejected a Senate-passed bipartisan measure as inadequate on immigration enforcement, advancing instead a House continuing resolution for 60 days that faces dim prospects in the upper chamber, prolonging disruptions like unpaid airport security agents. This impasse echoes prior leadership tests, including the failed 2024 motion to vacate by Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, which Johnson survived with Democratic help. No new challenges have emerged in the past 30 days, but conservative discontent over fiscal priorities lingers; traders watch an imminent House floor vote and Senate negotiations for signs of GOP fractures that could trigger a speakership contest before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes