Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 20 posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on his official X account (@khamenei_ir) during March 20–27, 2026, reflecting his historically sparse posting rhythm—typically 1–5 official statements or messages per week, often tied to major speeches, holidays, or policy announcements rather than daily commentary. No developments in the past 30 days, including ongoing Iran-Israel tensions or domestic policy signals, suggest any shift toward heightened social media activity, while Khamenei's age (nearing 87) and periodic health reports reinforce subdued expectations. Scenarios that could challenge this include a sudden escalation in regional conflicts prompting frequent updates, an institutional pivot to more active digital communication, or confirmed health improvements enabling greater public engagement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourKhamenei # posts 20 mars - 27 mars 2026 ?
Khamenei # posts 20 mars - 27 mars 2026 ?
<20 100.0%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
60-79 <1%
$36,903 Vol.
$36,903 Vol.
<20
Oui
20-39
Non
40-59
Non
60-79
Non
80-99
Non
100-119
Non
120-139
Non
140-159
Non
160-179
Non
180-199
Non
200+
Non
<20 100.0%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
60-79 <1%
$36,903 Vol.
$36,903 Vol.
<20
Oui
20-39
Non
40-59
Non
60-79
Non
80-99
Non
100-119
Non
120-139
Non
140-159
Non
160-179
Non
180-199
Non
200+
Non
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 20 posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on his official X account (@khamenei_ir) during March 20–27, 2026, reflecting his historically sparse posting rhythm—typically 1–5 official statements or messages per week, often tied to major speeches, holidays, or policy announcements rather than daily commentary. No developments in the past 30 days, including ongoing Iran-Israel tensions or domestic policy signals, suggest any shift toward heightened social media activity, while Khamenei's age (nearing 87) and periodic health reports reinforce subdued expectations. Scenarios that could challenge this include a sudden escalation in regional conflicts prompting frequent updates, an institutional pivot to more active digital communication, or confirmed health improvements enabling greater public engagement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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