Donna Miller holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary as trader consensus prices her victory at virtually certain, driven by dominant recent polling averages showing her 30+ point margin over challengers, superior fundraising with over $1 million raised, and key endorsements from local labor unions and Chicago South Side leaders following incumbent Robin Kelly's retirement. This open-seat race in the safely Democratic district reflects fragmented opposition, with no other candidate breaking 15% in surveys. Realistic challenges include a late-breaking endorsement for a rival like Yumeka Brown, voter mobilization surges among progressive activists backing Jesse Jackson Jr.'s potential return talk, or unforeseen turnout shifts ahead of the March 19 primary, though current evidence points to Miller's momentum holding firm.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourDonna Miller 100.0%
Toni Brown <1%
Yumeka Brown <1%
Eric France <1%
$29,031 Vol.
$29,031 Vol.
Toni Brown
Non
Yumeka Brown
Non
Eric France
Non
Jesse Jackson Jr.
Non
Patrick Keating
Non
Donna Miller
Oui
Sidney Moore
Non
Robert Peters
Non
Willie Preston
Non
Adal Regis
Non
Donna Miller 100.0%
Toni Brown <1%
Yumeka Brown <1%
Eric France <1%
$29,031 Vol.
$29,031 Vol.
Toni Brown
Non
Yumeka Brown
Non
Eric France
Non
Jesse Jackson Jr.
Non
Patrick Keating
Non
Donna Miller
Oui
Sidney Moore
Non
Robert Peters
Non
Willie Preston
Non
Adal Regis
Non
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Dec 19, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donna Miller holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary as trader consensus prices her victory at virtually certain, driven by dominant recent polling averages showing her 30+ point margin over challengers, superior fundraising with over $1 million raised, and key endorsements from local labor unions and Chicago South Side leaders following incumbent Robin Kelly's retirement. This open-seat race in the safely Democratic district reflects fragmented opposition, with no other candidate breaking 15% in surveys. Realistic challenges include a late-breaking endorsement for a rival like Yumeka Brown, voter mobilization surges among progressive activists backing Jesse Jackson Jr.'s potential return talk, or unforeseen turnout shifts ahead of the March 19 primary, though current evidence points to Miller's momentum holding firm.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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