Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 43% implied probability for a high of 76°F or higher at Los Angeles International Airport on April 8, reflecting lingering effects from a departing upper-level ridge and Santa Ana winds that drove recent record warmth—April 3 hit 78°F+, April 4 exceeded 80°F—while acknowledging uncertainty in the cooling trend outlined in the latest National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast discussion. This shift, triggered by an approaching trough, supports secondary outcomes like 70-71°F at 24% market-implied odds, aligning with coastal marine layer influences and model ensemble means around 73-75°F. Historical April averages at LAX hover near 70°F, but spring variability persists; watch overnight GFS/ECMWF updates and NWS point forecast refreshes for potential adjustments ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 8?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 8?
76°F or higher 43%
70-71°F 25%
68-69°F 16%
72-73°F 13%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
12%
76°F or higher
43%
76°F or higher 43%
70-71°F 25%
68-69°F 16%
72-73°F 13%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
12%
76°F or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 43% implied probability for a high of 76°F or higher at Los Angeles International Airport on April 8, reflecting lingering effects from a departing upper-level ridge and Santa Ana winds that drove recent record warmth—April 3 hit 78°F+, April 4 exceeded 80°F—while acknowledging uncertainty in the cooling trend outlined in the latest National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast discussion. This shift, triggered by an approaching trough, supports secondary outcomes like 70-71°F at 24% market-implied odds, aligning with coastal marine layer influences and model ensemble means around 73-75°F. Historical April averages at LAX hover near 70°F, but spring variability persists; watch overnight GFS/ECMWF updates and NWS point forecast refreshes for potential adjustments ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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