Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Met Office forecasts showing mild but changeable conditions for London on April 6, with highs implied around 14-16°C amid successive Atlantic low-pressure systems bringing showers, gusty winds, and partial cloud cover. The close clustering of probabilities—favoring 14°C (29%), 16°C (24.5%), and 15°C (19.5%)—stems from ensemble model divergence: ECMWF and GFS runs differ on sunshine penetration and shower timing, potentially capping peaks at 14-15°C under overcast skies or allowing 16°C with clearer breaks. Early April climatology averages 13°C highs, but incoming mild southerly flows boost upside potential; daily updates from the Met Office through April 5 will refine resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 6 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 6 avril ?
14°C 29%
15°C 22%
16°C 21%
17°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
9°C ou moins
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
7%
13°C
13%
14°C
29%
15°C
22%
16°C
21%
17°C
14%
18°C
10%
19°C ou plus
5%
14°C 29%
15°C 22%
16°C 21%
17°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
9°C ou moins
$326 Vol.
2%
10°C
$282 Vol.
2%
11°C
$100 Vol.
2%
12°C
$55 Vol.
7%
13°C
$69 Vol.
13%
14°C
$167 Vol.
29%
15°C
$86 Vol.
22%
16°C
$66 Vol.
21%
17°C
$149 Vol.
14%
18°C
$28 Vol.
10%
19°C ou plus
$42 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Met Office forecasts showing mild but changeable conditions for London on April 6, with highs implied around 14-16°C amid successive Atlantic low-pressure systems bringing showers, gusty winds, and partial cloud cover. The close clustering of probabilities—favoring 14°C (29%), 16°C (24.5%), and 15°C (19.5%)—stems from ensemble model divergence: ECMWF and GFS runs differ on sunshine penetration and shower timing, potentially capping peaks at 14-15°C under overcast skies or allowing 16°C with clearer breaks. Early April climatology averages 13°C highs, but incoming mild southerly flows boost upside potential; daily updates from the Met Office through April 5 will refine resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volume
$1,371Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Met Office forecasts showing mild but changeable conditions for London on April 6, with highs implied around 14-16°C amid successive Atlantic low-pressure systems bringing showers, gusty winds, and partial cloud cover. The close clustering of probabilities—favoring 14°C (29%), 16°C (24.5%), and 15°C (19.5%)—stems from ensemble model divergence: ECMWF and GFS runs differ on sunshine penetration and shower timing, potentially capping peaks at 14-15°C under overcast skies or allowing 16°C with clearer breaks. Early April climatology averages 13°C highs, but incoming mild southerly flows boost upside potential; daily updates from the Met Office through April 5 will refine resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,371Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Met Office forecasts showing mild but changeable conditions for London on April 6, with highs implied around 14-16°C amid successive Atlantic low-pressure systems bringing showers, gusty winds, and partial cloud cover. The close clustering of probabilities—favoring 14°C (29%), 16°C (24.5%), and 15°C (19.5%)—stems from ensemble model divergence: ECMWF and GFS runs differ on sunshine penetration and shower timing, potentially capping peaks at 14-15°C under overcast skies or allowing 16°C with clearer breaks. Early April climatology averages 13°C highs, but incoming mild southerly flows boost upside potential; daily updates from the Met Office through April 5 will refine resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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