Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 24°C as the highest temperature at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on April 1, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by verified hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration's automated station peaking at approximately 24°C (75°F) amid scattered clouds, passing showers, and mild southerly winds. This aligns with early April climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where average highs hover around 20–23°C under typical frontal influences suppressing stronger solar heating. Model forecasts from sources like AccuWeather had anticipated 25°C but undershot due to increased cloud cover; official daily summaries now confirm no exceedance. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-peak revision from recalibrated sensors or overlooked late-afternoon data, though resolution nears finality with no further updates expected.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 1?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$101,081 Vol.
$101,081 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$101,081 Vol.
$101,081 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 24°C as the highest temperature at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on April 1, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by verified hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration's automated station peaking at approximately 24°C (75°F) amid scattered clouds, passing showers, and mild southerly winds. This aligns with early April climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where average highs hover around 20–23°C under typical frontal influences suppressing stronger solar heating. Model forecasts from sources like AccuWeather had anticipated 25°C but undershot due to increased cloud cover; official daily summaries now confirm no exceedance. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-peak revision from recalibrated sensors or overlooked late-afternoon data, though resolution nears finality with no further updates expected.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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