Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Austin's April 9 high temperature, with 74°F or higher leading at 32.5% amid closely matched bins in the 60-73°F range, driven by a recent cold front on April 4 that ushered cooler air and gusty north-northeast winds into Central Texas. National Weather Service guidance post-front indicates below-normal highs persisting into early next week, with lingering cloud cover and shower risks capping peak heating, though model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread—some runs favor mid-70s rebound under partial clearing, while others hold 60s due to cool air advection. Climatological April norms near 78°F provide context, but daily forecast updates from NOAA will clarify as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 9 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 9 avril ?
74°F ou plus 48%
72-73 °F 27%
70-71°F 26%
60-61°F 23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 avr. 2026
55°F ou moins
4%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
23%
62-63°F
23%
64-65 °F
23%
66-67 °F
23%
68-69 °F
8%
70-71°F
26%
72-73 °F
27%
74°F ou plus
48%
74°F ou plus 48%
72-73 °F 27%
70-71°F 26%
60-61°F 23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 avr. 2026
55°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
4%
56-57°F
$5 Vol.
4%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
4%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
23%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
23%
64-65 °F
$0 Vol.
23%
66-67 °F
$0 Vol.
23%
68-69 °F
$25 Vol.
8%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
26%
72-73 °F
$0 Vol.
27%
74°F ou plus
$10 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Austin's April 9 high temperature, with 74°F or higher leading at 32.5% amid closely matched bins in the 60-73°F range, driven by a recent cold front on April 4 that ushered cooler air and gusty north-northeast winds into Central Texas. National Weather Service guidance post-front indicates below-normal highs persisting into early next week, with lingering cloud cover and shower risks capping peak heating, though model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread—some runs favor mid-70s rebound under partial clearing, while others hold 60s due to cool air advection. Climatological April norms near 78°F provide context, but daily forecast updates from NOAA will clarify as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$40Date de fin
9 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Austin's April 9 high temperature, with 74°F or higher leading at 32.5% amid closely matched bins in the 60-73°F range, driven by a recent cold front on April 4 that ushered cooler air and gusty north-northeast winds into Central Texas. National Weather Service guidance post-front indicates below-normal highs persisting into early next week, with lingering cloud cover and shower risks capping peak heating, though model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread—some runs favor mid-70s rebound under partial clearing, while others hold 60s due to cool air advection. Climatological April norms near 78°F provide context, but daily forecast updates from NOAA will clarify as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$40Date de fin
9 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Austin's April 9 high temperature, with 74°F or higher leading at 32.5% amid closely matched bins in the 60-73°F range, driven by a recent cold front on April 4 that ushered cooler air and gusty north-northeast winds into Central Texas. National Weather Service guidance post-front indicates below-normal highs persisting into early next week, with lingering cloud cover and shower risks capping peak heating, though model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread—some runs favor mid-70s rebound under partial clearing, while others hold 60s due to cool air advection. Climatological April norms near 78°F provide context, but daily forecast updates from NOAA will clarify as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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