Recent redistricting in Florida, signed into law in early May 2026, has shaped the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in the FL-22 House race. The revised district boundaries incorporate portions of Broward County with established Democratic voting patterns, creating a competitive but Democratic-leaning seat ahead of the August 18 primary and November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the race, while Republican challengers face an uphill path in the updated map. This political geography, combined with the early stage of the cycle and limited recent polling shifts, underpins the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-22
$14,220 Vol.
$14,220 Vol.
Parti démocrate
57%
Parti républicain
40%
$14,220 Vol.
$14,220 Vol.
Parti démocrate
57%
Parti républicain
40%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting in Florida, signed into law in early May 2026, has shaped the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in the FL-22 House race. The revised district boundaries incorporate portions of Broward County with established Democratic voting patterns, creating a competitive but Democratic-leaning seat ahead of the August 18 primary and November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the race, while Republican challengers face an uphill path in the updated map. This political geography, combined with the early stage of the cycle and limited recent polling shifts, underpins the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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