Incumbent Democrat Rep. Lois Frankel holds a commanding position in Florida's 22nd Congressional District House race, with trader consensus implying a 61% probability of a Democratic win reflecting her consistent double-digit leads in recent polls like RMG Research's October survey (52%-38%). Frankel's incumbency advantage since 2013, combined with a substantial fundraising edge—$2.1 million cash-on-hand versus Republican challenger Anthony Aguirre's $85,000—solidifies her edge in this D+6 leaning district with strong senior and Jewish voter blocs. No major developments in the past week have shifted dynamics, though Florida's early voting phase, underway since late October, and national GOP momentum could influence turnout; the race resolves post-November 5 election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-22
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-22
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti démocrate
64%
Parti républicain
38%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
64%
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rep. Lois Frankel holds a commanding position in Florida's 22nd Congressional District House race, with trader consensus implying a 61% probability of a Democratic win reflecting her consistent double-digit leads in recent polls like RMG Research's October survey (52%-38%). Frankel's incumbency advantage since 2013, combined with a substantial fundraising edge—$2.1 million cash-on-hand versus Republican challenger Anthony Aguirre's $85,000—solidifies her edge in this D+6 leaning district with strong senior and Jewish voter blocs. No major developments in the past week have shifted dynamics, though Florida's early voting phase, underway since late October, and national GOP momentum could influence turnout; the race resolves post-November 5 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rep. Lois Frankel holds a commanding position in Florida's 22nd Congressional District House race, with trader consensus implying a 61% probability of a Democratic win reflecting her consistent double-digit leads in recent polls like RMG Research's October survey (52%-38%). Frankel's incumbency advantage since 2013, combined with a substantial fundraising edge—$2.1 million cash-on-hand versus Republican challenger Anthony Aguirre's $85,000—solidifies her edge in this D+6 leaning district with strong senior and Jewish voter blocs. No major developments in the past week have shifted dynamics, though Florida's early voting phase, underway since late October, and national GOP momentum could influence turnout; the race resolves post-November 5 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Rep. Lois Frankel holds a commanding position in Florida's 22nd Congressional District House race, with trader consensus implying a 61% probability of a Democratic win reflecting her consistent double-digit leads in recent polls like RMG Research's October survey (52%-38%). Frankel's incumbency advantage since 2013, combined with a substantial fundraising edge—$2.1 million cash-on-hand versus Republican challenger Anthony Aguirre's $85,000—solidifies her edge in this D+6 leaning district with strong senior and Jewish voter blocs. No major developments in the past week have shifted dynamics, though Florida's early voting phase, underway since late October, and national GOP momentum could influence turnout; the race resolves post-November 5 election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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