Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor seeks re-election in Florida's 14th district ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent state legislative approval of a new congressional map proposed by Governor Ron DeSantis has shifted the district's partisan balance, prompting nonpartisan ratings to classify the seat as Lean Republican. Traders assign the Democratic Party a narrow 55% edge, reflecting Castor's incumbency advantages, prior 57% victory margin, and established fundraising, while the Republican Party's 42.5% share accounts for the redrawn lines and competitive primary field. The close pricing underscores uncertainty around turnout patterns and candidate emergence in this swing district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-14
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-14
$19,960 Vol.
$19,960 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
57%
Parti républicain
44%
$19,960 Vol.
$19,960 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$8,578 Vol.
57%
Parti républicain
$11,383 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor seeks re-election in Florida's 14th district ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent state legislative approval of a new congressional map proposed by Governor Ron DeSantis has shifted the district's partisan balance, prompting nonpartisan ratings to classify the seat as Lean Republican. Traders assign the Democratic Party a narrow 55% edge, reflecting Castor's incumbency advantages, prior 57% victory margin, and established fundraising, while the Republican Party's 42.5% share accounts for the redrawn lines and competitive primary field. The close pricing underscores uncertainty around turnout patterns and candidate emergence in this swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$19,960Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor seeks re-election in Florida's 14th district ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent state legislative approval of a new congressional map proposed by Governor Ron DeSantis has shifted the district's partisan balance, prompting nonpartisan ratings to classify the seat as Lean Republican. Traders assign the Democratic Party a narrow 55% edge, reflecting Castor's incumbency advantages, prior 57% victory margin, and established fundraising, while the Republican Party's 42.5% share accounts for the redrawn lines and competitive primary field. The close pricing underscores uncertainty around turnout patterns and candidate emergence in this swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,960Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor seeks re-election in Florida's 14th district ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent state legislative approval of a new congressional map proposed by Governor Ron DeSantis has shifted the district's partisan balance, prompting nonpartisan ratings to classify the seat as Lean Republican. Traders assign the Democratic Party a narrow 55% edge, reflecting Castor's incumbency advantages, prior 57% victory margin, and established fundraising, while the Republican Party's 42.5% share accounts for the redrawn lines and competitive primary field. The close pricing underscores uncertainty around turnout patterns and candidate emergence in this swing district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes