Florida's 18th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent Republican representative's decisive 2024 victory by over 30 points. Scott Franklin's re-election bid faces limited opposition, with Democratic primary contenders still emerging ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's inland Florida composition and voting patterns. This structural advantage underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee, though primary outcomes and any late shifts in turnout could influence final margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-18
$14,066 Vol.
$14,066 Vol.
Parti républicain
83%
Parti démocrate
15%
$14,066 Vol.
$14,066 Vol.
Parti républicain
83%
Parti démocrate
15%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 18th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent Republican representative's decisive 2024 victory by over 30 points. Scott Franklin's re-election bid faces limited opposition, with Democratic primary contenders still emerging ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's inland Florida composition and voting patterns. This structural advantage underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee, though primary outcomes and any late shifts in turnout could influence final margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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