Incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin's commanding position in Florida's 18th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with a partisan lean of R+14, drives trader consensus implying over 90% odds for a GOP hold. Franklin won reelection in 2024 with 65% amid a district that favored Trump by 29 points, bolstered by his incumbency advantage and early fundraising lead of over $615,000 cash on hand. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with Democratic primary challengers Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong showing no reported fundraising. Scenarios that could shift odds include a high-profile Democratic recruit, scandal impacting Franklin, or a national midterm wave favoring Democrats ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-18
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-18
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
91%
Parti démocrate
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
91%
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin's commanding position in Florida's 18th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with a partisan lean of R+14, drives trader consensus implying over 90% odds for a GOP hold. Franklin won reelection in 2024 with 65% amid a district that favored Trump by 29 points, bolstered by his incumbency advantage and early fundraising lead of over $615,000 cash on hand. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with Democratic primary challengers Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong showing no reported fundraising. Scenarios that could shift odds include a high-profile Democratic recruit, scandal impacting Franklin, or a national midterm wave favoring Democrats ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin's commanding position in Florida's 18th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with a partisan lean of R+14, drives trader consensus implying over 90% odds for a GOP hold. Franklin won reelection in 2024 with 65% amid a district that favored Trump by 29 points, bolstered by his incumbency advantage and early fundraising lead of over $615,000 cash on hand. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with Democratic primary challengers Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong showing no reported fundraising. Scenarios that could shift odds include a high-profile Democratic recruit, scandal impacting Franklin, or a national midterm wave favoring Democrats ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin's commanding position in Florida's 18th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with a partisan lean of R+14, drives trader consensus implying over 90% odds for a GOP hold. Franklin won reelection in 2024 with 65% amid a district that favored Trump by 29 points, bolstered by his incumbency advantage and early fundraising lead of over $615,000 cash on hand. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with Democratic primary challengers Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong showing no reported fundraising. Scenarios that could shift odds include a high-profile Democratic recruit, scandal impacting Franklin, or a national midterm wave favoring Democrats ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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