Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly splits between 1320-1359 posts (38.5%) and 1280-1319 (36.3%) for Elon Musk's March X activity, reflecting his pace through March 28—averaging 35-45 daily posts amid variable bursts, including 83 on March 22 and dips to 20-30 lately. Recent days' steadier cadence, fueled by commentary on Tesla FSD European rollout and Grok AI enhancements, has narrowed projections, with just three days left amplifying uncertainty over spikes from potential SpaceX launches or Tesla updates. Historical patterns of 40+ daily averages support the cluster, but a quiet finale or viral thread could decisively separate the bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour1320-1359 38.5%
1280-1319 36.4%
1360-1399 19.0%
1400+ 5.1%
$3,189,007 Vol.
$3,189,007 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
3%
1280-1319
36%
1320-1359
39%
1360-1399
19%
1400+
5%
1320-1359 38.5%
1280-1319 36.4%
1360-1399 19.0%
1400+ 5.1%
$3,189,007 Vol.
$3,189,007 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
1200-1239
$328,943 Vol.
<1%
1240-1279
$396,864 Vol.
3%
1280-1319
$709,146 Vol.
36%
1320-1359
$433,416 Vol.
39%
1360-1399
$212,813 Vol.
19%
1400+
$99,354 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly splits between 1320-1359 posts (38.5%) and 1280-1319 (36.3%) for Elon Musk's March X activity, reflecting his pace through March 28—averaging 35-45 daily posts amid variable bursts, including 83 on March 22 and dips to 20-30 lately. Recent days' steadier cadence, fueled by commentary on Tesla FSD European rollout and Grok AI enhancements, has narrowed projections, with just three days left amplifying uncertainty over spikes from potential SpaceX launches or Tesla updates. Historical patterns of 40+ daily averages support the cluster, but a quiet finale or viral thread could decisively separate the bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$3,189,007Date de fin
Apr 1, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly splits between 1320-1359 posts (38.5%) and 1280-1319 (36.3%) for Elon Musk's March X activity, reflecting his pace through March 28—averaging 35-45 daily posts amid variable bursts, including 83 on March 22 and dips to 20-30 lately. Recent days' steadier cadence, fueled by commentary on Tesla FSD European rollout and Grok AI enhancements, has narrowed projections, with just three days left amplifying uncertainty over spikes from potential SpaceX launches or Tesla updates. Historical patterns of 40+ daily averages support the cluster, but a quiet finale or viral thread could decisively separate the bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,189,007Date de fin
Apr 1, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly splits between 1320-1359 posts (38.5%) and 1280-1319 (36.3%) for Elon Musk's March X activity, reflecting his pace through March 28—averaging 35-45 daily posts amid variable bursts, including 83 on March 22 and dips to 20-30 lately. Recent days' steadier cadence, fueled by commentary on Tesla FSD European rollout and Grok AI enhancements, has narrowed projections, with just three days left amplifying uncertainty over spikes from potential SpaceX launches or Tesla updates. Historical patterns of 40+ daily averages support the cluster, but a quiet finale or viral thread could decisively separate the bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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