Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 1280-1319 X posts by Elon Musk in March 2026 at 41.5%, reflecting his sustained daily average of 30-50 posts—including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts—tracked via live counters like xtracker and polystrike. Cumulative tallies through March 28 position the total near 1250, bolstered by resolved sub-markets such as 340-359 for early March weeks and 168 over March 20-24 (averaging 34 daily), with a peak of 54 posts on March 23 amid Tesla FSD and SpaceX updates. Lately subdued 20-30 daily in late March, alongside March 28-30 odds leaning 40-64, supports adjacent bins at 25.7% and 24%, with upside risks from policy commentary or announcements in final days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour1280-1319 39.6%
1240-1279 25.7%
1320-1359 24.1%
1360-1399 8.2%
$3,227,522 Vol.
$3,227,522 Vol.
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
26%
1280-1319
40%
1320-1359
24%
1360-1399
8%
1400+
3%
1280-1319 39.6%
1240-1279 25.7%
1320-1359 24.1%
1360-1399 8.2%
$3,227,522 Vol.
$3,227,522 Vol.
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
26%
1280-1319
40%
1320-1359
24%
1360-1399
8%
1400+
3%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 1280-1319 X posts by Elon Musk in March 2026 at 41.5%, reflecting his sustained daily average of 30-50 posts—including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts—tracked via live counters like xtracker and polystrike. Cumulative tallies through March 28 position the total near 1250, bolstered by resolved sub-markets such as 340-359 for early March weeks and 168 over March 20-24 (averaging 34 daily), with a peak of 54 posts on March 23 amid Tesla FSD and SpaceX updates. Lately subdued 20-30 daily in late March, alongside March 28-30 odds leaning 40-64, supports adjacent bins at 25.7% and 24%, with upside risks from policy commentary or announcements in final days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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