Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?

$72,300 Vol.

<1% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state, between December 10, 2024, and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$72,300
End Date
Apr 29, 2025
Created At
Dec 11, 2024, 9:53 PM UTC

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$72,300 Vol.

Market icon

Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?

<1% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state, between December 10, 2024, and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$72,300
End Date
Apr 29, 2025
Created At
Dec 11, 2024, 9:53 PM UTC

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.