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Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by...?

$683,162 Vol.

OUTCOMERESULT

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is arrested in direct connection of the October 19th robbery of the Louvre by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only arrests of individuals for alleged participation in the planning or execution of the robbery itself will qualify.
Arrests made solely for related or subsequent conduct — such as obstruction of justice, making false statements, possession, transport, or attempted sale of the stolen goods, or aiding concealment after the fact — will not qualify.

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$683,162
End Date
Oct 31, 2025
Created At
Oct 19, 2025, 5:55 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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$683,162 Vol.

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Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by...?

October 19

$21,107 Vol.

No

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October 20

$52,908 Vol.

No

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October 24

$129,123 Vol.

No

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October 31

$403,361 Vol.

Yes

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December 31

$76,663 Vol.

Yes

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About

Volume
$683,162
End Date
Oct 31, 2025
Created At
Oct 19, 2025, 5:55 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.