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Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

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Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

$72,623 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$72,623 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Catherine Cortez Masto

$0 Vol.

27%

Market icon

Patty Murray

$11,380 Vol.

22%

Market icon

Mike Lee

$586 Vol.

15%

Market icon

Tim Kaine

$1,795 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Lisa Murkowski

$2,774 Vol.

14%

Market icon

Jacky Rosen

$363 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Jeanne Shaheen

$649 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Thom Tillis

$3,188 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Angus King

$1,272 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Maggie Hassan

$2,580 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Dick Durbin

$5,872 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Susan Collins

$2,506 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Chuck Schumer

$1,860 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Mark Warner

$348 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Rick Scott

$1,863 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Bernie Sanders

$14,272 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Amy Klobuchar

$3,957 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Chris Coons

$2,296 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Rand Paul

$2,406 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Chris Murphy

$1,609 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ron Johnson

$3,382 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Kirsten Gillibrand

$3,284 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Fetterman

$4,431 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed U.S. senator votes "Yea" on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, during the first roll-call vote on passage in the U.S. Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if no vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The listed senator's vote during the first qualifying roll-call vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, will be used for this market’s resolution, regardless of whether that bill is later signed into law. Any vote by the listed U.S. senator on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, whether that bill is voted on individually or as part of a larger legislative package in which DHS appropriations are clearly included, will qualify for this market’s resolution. Any vote on a continuing resolution (CR), whether or not it includes Department of Homeland Security funding, will not qualify for this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A partial government shutdown affecting the Department of Homeland Security, ongoing since mid-February 2026 after a continuing resolution expired, has intensified partisan disputes over FY2026 appropriations, particularly funding for immigration enforcement components like ICE and Border Patrol. House Republicans passed H.R. 7744, the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, on March 5 by 221-209 along party lines, but it stalled in the Senate Appropriations Committee. On March 27, the Senate voice-vote advanced a limited version of H.R. 7147 excluding certain enforcement funds, prompting House GOP rejection via H. Res. 1142 (213-203) and passage of a rival 60-day stopgap. Trader sentiment hinges on whether negotiations yield a floor vote by March 31 amid TSA staffing strains and spring travel pressures, with past votes showing unified Republican yeas and Democratic nays. Leadership talks continue, but slim majorities leave outcomes uncertain.

A partial government shutdown affecting the Department of Homeland Security, ongoing since mid-February 2026 after a continuing resolution expired, has intensified partisan disputes over FY2026 appropriations, particularly funding for immigration enforcement components like ICE and Border Patrol. House Republicans passed H.R. 7744, the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, on March 5 by 221-209 along party lines, but it stalled in the Senate Appropriations Committee. On March 27, the Senate voice-vote advanced a limited version of H.R. 7147 excluding certain enforcement funds, prompting House GOP rejection via H. Res. 1142 (213-203) and passage of a rival 60-day stopgap. Trader sentiment hinges on whether negotiations yield a floor vote by March 31 amid TSA staffing strains and spring travel pressures, with past votes showing unified Republican yeas and Democratic nays. Leadership talks continue, but slim majorities leave outcomes uncertain.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed U.S. senator votes "Yea" on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, during the first roll-call vote on passage in the U.S. Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if no vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The listed senator's vote during the first qualifying roll-call vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, will be used for this market’s resolution, regardless of whether that bill is later signed into law. Any vote by the listed U.S. senator on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, whether that bill is voted on individually or as part of a larger legislative package in which DHS appropriations are clearly included, will qualify for this market’s resolution. Any vote on a continuing resolution (CR), whether or not it includes Department of Homeland Security funding, will not qualify for this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A partial government shutdown affecting the Department of Homeland Security, ongoing since mid-February 2026 after a continuing resolution expired, has intensified partisan disputes over FY2026 appropriations, particularly funding for immigration enforcement components like ICE and Border Patrol. House Republicans passed H.R. 7744, the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, on March 5 by 221-209 along party lines, but it stalled in the Senate Appropriations Committee. On March 27, the Senate voice-vote advanced a limited version of H.R. 7147 excluding certain enforcement funds, prompting House GOP rejection via H. Res. 1142 (213-203) and passage of a rival 60-day stopgap. Trader sentiment hinges on whether negotiations yield a floor vote by March 31 amid TSA staffing strains and spring travel pressures, with past votes showing unified Republican yeas and Democratic nays. Leadership talks continue, but slim majorities leave outcomes uncertain.

A partial government shutdown affecting the Department of Homeland Security, ongoing since mid-February 2026 after a continuing resolution expired, has intensified partisan disputes over FY2026 appropriations, particularly funding for immigration enforcement components like ICE and Border Patrol. House Republicans passed H.R. 7744, the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, on March 5 by 221-209 along party lines, but it stalled in the Senate Appropriations Committee. On March 27, the Senate voice-vote advanced a limited version of H.R. 7147 excluding certain enforcement funds, prompting House GOP rejection via H. Res. 1142 (213-203) and passage of a rival 60-day stopgap. Trader sentiment hinges on whether negotiations yield a floor vote by March 31 amid TSA staffing strains and spring travel pressures, with past votes showing unified Republican yeas and Democratic nays. Leadership talks continue, but slim majorities leave outcomes uncertain.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Catherine Cortez Masto" at 27%, followed by "Patty Murray" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?" has generated $72.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?" is "Catherine Cortez Masto" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Patty Murray" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.