A partial government shutdown affecting the Department of Homeland Security, ongoing since mid-February 2026 after a continuing resolution expired, has intensified partisan disputes over FY2026 appropriations, particularly funding for immigration enforcement components like ICE and Border Patrol. House Republicans passed H.R. 7744, the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, on March 5 by 221-209 along party lines, but it stalled in the Senate Appropriations Committee. On March 27, the Senate voice-vote advanced a limited version of H.R. 7147 excluding certain enforcement funds, prompting House GOP rejection via H. Res. 1142 (213-203) and passage of a rival 60-day stopgap. Trader sentiment hinges on whether negotiations yield a floor vote by March 31 amid TSA staffing strains and spring travel pressures, with past votes showing unified Republican yeas and Democratic nays. Leadership talks continue, but slim majorities leave outcomes uncertain.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWho will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$72,623 Vol.

Catherine Cortez Masto
27%

Patty Murray
22%

Mike Lee
15%

Tim Kaine
8%

Lisa Murkowski
14%

Jacky Rosen
8%

Jeanne Shaheen
8%

Thom Tillis
6%

Angus King
6%

Maggie Hassan
5%

Dick Durbin
5%

Susan Collins
3%

Chuck Schumer
3%

Mark Warner
3%

Rick Scott
11%

Bernie Sanders
3%

Amy Klobuchar
2%

Chris Coons
2%

Rand Paul
2%

Chris Murphy
2%

Ron Johnson
2%

Kirsten Gillibrand
1%

John Fetterman
<1%
$72,623 Vol.

Catherine Cortez Masto
27%

Patty Murray
22%

Mike Lee
15%

Tim Kaine
8%

Lisa Murkowski
14%

Jacky Rosen
8%

Jeanne Shaheen
8%

Thom Tillis
6%

Angus King
6%

Maggie Hassan
5%

Dick Durbin
5%

Susan Collins
3%

Chuck Schumer
3%

Mark Warner
3%

Rick Scott
11%

Bernie Sanders
3%

Amy Klobuchar
2%

Chris Coons
2%

Rand Paul
2%

Chris Murphy
2%

Ron Johnson
2%

Kirsten Gillibrand
1%

John Fetterman
<1%
This market will resolve to "No" if no vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The listed senator's vote during the first qualifying roll-call vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, will be used for this market’s resolution, regardless of whether that bill is later signed into law.
Any vote by the listed U.S. senator on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, whether that bill is voted on individually or as part of a larger legislative package in which DHS appropriations are clearly included, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
Any vote on a continuing resolution (CR), whether or not it includes Department of Homeland Security funding, will not qualify for this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "No" if no vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The listed senator's vote during the first qualifying roll-call vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, will be used for this market’s resolution, regardless of whether that bill is later signed into law.
Any vote by the listed U.S. senator on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, whether that bill is voted on individually or as part of a larger legislative package in which DHS appropriations are clearly included, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
Any vote on a continuing resolution (CR), whether or not it includes Department of Homeland Security funding, will not qualify for this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A partial government shutdown affecting the Department of Homeland Security, ongoing since mid-February 2026 after a continuing resolution expired, has intensified partisan disputes over FY2026 appropriations, particularly funding for immigration enforcement components like ICE and Border Patrol. House Republicans passed H.R. 7744, the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, on March 5 by 221-209 along party lines, but it stalled in the Senate Appropriations Committee. On March 27, the Senate voice-vote advanced a limited version of H.R. 7147 excluding certain enforcement funds, prompting House GOP rejection via H. Res. 1142 (213-203) and passage of a rival 60-day stopgap. Trader sentiment hinges on whether negotiations yield a floor vote by March 31 amid TSA staffing strains and spring travel pressures, with past votes showing unified Republican yeas and Democratic nays. Leadership talks continue, but slim majorities leave outcomes uncertain.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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