Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
$14,011,760 Vol.
Pete Hegseth 100.0%
Ron DeSantis <1%
Tom Cotton <1%
Robert O'Brien <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT
Ron DeSantis
$286,809 Vol.
No
Ron DeSantis
$286,809 Vol.
No
Tom Cotton
$141,214 Vol.
No
Tom Cotton
$141,214 Vol.
No
Robert O'Brien
$6,904,060 Vol.
No
Robert O'Brien
$6,904,060 Vol.
No
Joni Ernst
$406,097 Vol.
No
Joni Ernst
$406,097 Vol.
No
Pete Hegseth
$2,358,456 Vol.
Yes
Pete Hegseth
$2,358,456 Vol.
Yes
Mike Waltz
$213,155 Vol.
No
Mike Waltz
$213,155 Vol.
No
Elbridge Colby
$98,912 Vol.
No
Elbridge Colby
$98,912 Vol.
No
Mike Pompeo
$220,462 Vol.
No
Mike Pompeo
$220,462 Vol.
No
Christopher Miller
$560,478 Vol.
No
Christopher Miller
$560,478 Vol.
No
Mike Gallagher
$2,022,557 Vol.
No
Mike Gallagher
$2,022,557 Vol.
No
Thomas Massie
$686,366 Vol.
No
Thomas Massie
$686,366 Vol.
No
Mike Rogers
$113,193 Vol.
No
Mike Rogers
$113,193 Vol.
No
Rules
A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense.
This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government.
Created At: Nov 14, 2024, 11:51 PM
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$14,011,760 Vol.
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Pete Hegseth 100.0%
Ron DeSantis <1%
Tom Cotton <1%
Robert O'Brien <1%
Ron DeSantis
No
Tom Cotton
No
Robert O'Brien
No
Joni Ernst
No
Pete Hegseth
Yes
Mike Waltz
No
Elbridge Colby
No
Mike Pompeo
No
Christopher Miller
No
Mike Gallagher
No
Thomas Massie
No
Mike Rogers
No
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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