Market icon

Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

Market icon

Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

$194,786 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$194,786 Vol.

Polymarket

Patrick Mahomes

$911 Vol.

85%

Alana Haim

$0 Vol.

81%

Sabrina Carpenter

$409 Vol.

77%

Este Haim

$19,565 Vol.

81%

Jack Antonoff

$10,643 Vol.

77%

Brittany Mahomes

$10,945 Vol.

76%

Selena Gomez

$27,105 Vol.

75%

Lana Del Rey

$47,667 Vol.

69%

Max Martin

$0 Vol.

65%

Danielle Haim

$58 Vol.

71%

Phoebe Bridgers

$57 Vol.

59%

Jared Goff

$235 Vol.

43%

Blake Lively

$77,190 Vol.

28%

Andrew Tate

$0 Vol.

2%

Gracie Abrams

$0 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count. Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's confirmed August 2025 engagement, announced via her Instagram post, has sparked intense speculation about their reported June 13, 2026, wedding in Rhode Island's Watch Hill, driving trader sentiment toward likely attendees rooted in deep personal and professional bonds. Recent reports from outlets like Us Weekly detail a trimmed guest list amid privacy concerns, highlighting frontrunner expectations for Kelce's Chiefs teammate Patrick Mahomes, music collaborators Jack Antonoff and the Haim sisters, and close friend Selena Gomez, while lower odds reflect cooler ties like with Blake Lively. Family statements, including Kylie Kelce's irritation at probing questions, emphasize secrecy, with upcoming pre-wedding events or leaks as key catalysts in this high-uncertainty celebrity scenario resolving by year-end.

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding.

If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
Volume
$194,786
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 6:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count. Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's confirmed August 2025 engagement, announced via her Instagram post, has sparked intense speculation about their reported June 13, 2026, wedding in Rhode Island's Watch Hill, driving trader sentiment toward likely attendees rooted in deep personal and professional bonds. Recent reports from outlets like Us Weekly detail a trimmed guest list amid privacy concerns, highlighting frontrunner expectations for Kelce's Chiefs teammate Patrick Mahomes, music collaborators Jack Antonoff and the Haim sisters, and close friend Selena Gomez, while lower odds reflect cooler ties like with Blake Lively. Family statements, including Kylie Kelce's irritation at probing questions, emphasize secrecy, with upcoming pre-wedding events or leaks as key catalysts in this high-uncertainty celebrity scenario resolving by year-end.

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding.

If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
Volume
$194,786
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 6:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.

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Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Patrick Mahomes" at 85%, followed by "Alana Haim" at 81%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?" has generated $194.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?" is "Patrick Mahomes" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alana Haim" at 81%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.