Market icon

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

Market icon

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

47% chance
Polymarket
NEW
47% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdfTrader consensus tilts slightly toward "No" at 55% implied probability, reflecting skepticism that all three celebrity couples—Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce, Tom Holland and Zendaya, Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner—will achieve their required milestones by year-end despite mounting buzz. Swift and Kelce, engaged since August 2025, fueled wedding speculation with separate iHeartRadio Music Awards appearances last week and insider whispers of a June 13 nuptial date, though Kylie Kelce sidestepped confirmation queries. Zendaya sparked secret marriage rumors by wearing a possible wedding band at the March Oscars and SAG Awards, but cheekily dismissed viral AI wedding images without verification from the couple. Chalamet and Jenner, dating over three years, face unconfirmed reports of engagement talks, with recent red-carpet sightings amplifying tabloid hype but no official ring reveal. With nine months left, traders eye public statements or announcements as pivotal swing factors in this high-uncertainty celebrity romance market.

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET:

- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
Volume
$4,680
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdfTrader consensus tilts slightly toward "No" at 55% implied probability, reflecting skepticism that all three celebrity couples—Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce, Tom Holland and Zendaya, Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner—will achieve their required milestones by year-end despite mounting buzz. Swift and Kelce, engaged since August 2025, fueled wedding speculation with separate iHeartRadio Music Awards appearances last week and insider whispers of a June 13 nuptial date, though Kylie Kelce sidestepped confirmation queries. Zendaya sparked secret marriage rumors by wearing a possible wedding band at the March Oscars and SAG Awards, but cheekily dismissed viral AI wedding images without verification from the couple. Chalamet and Jenner, dating over three years, face unconfirmed reports of engagement talks, with recent red-carpet sightings amplifying tabloid hype but no official ring reveal. With nine months left, traders eye public statements or announcements as pivotal swing factors in this high-uncertainty celebrity romance market.

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET:

- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
Volume
$4,680
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf

Related

Market icon

Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?

34%
Market icon

Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?

80%
Market icon

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

60%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Love Wins: 2026 Edition" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 47% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 47¢, the market collectively assigns a 47% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Love Wins: 2026 Edition" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Love Wins: 2026 Edition," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Love Wins: 2026 Edition" is 47% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 47% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Love Wins: 2026 Edition" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.