Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before July?
$6,686,490 Vol.
Jun 30, 2025
China
$376,494 Vol.
Yes
China
$376,494 Vol.
Yes
India
$485,051 Vol.
No
India
$485,051 Vol.
No
European Union
$792,209 Vol.
No
European Union
$792,209 Vol.
No
Japan
$532,685 Vol.
No
Japan
$532,685 Vol.
No
Canada
$548,798 Vol.
No
Canada
$548,798 Vol.
No
Mexico
$288,361 Vol.
No
Mexico
$288,361 Vol.
No
South Korea
$861,231 Vol.
No
South Korea
$861,231 Vol.
No
Vietnam
$504,367 Vol.
No
Vietnam
$504,367 Vol.
No
Australia
$451,521 Vol.
No
Australia
$451,521 Vol.
No
United Kingdom
$330,585 Vol.
Yes
United Kingdom
$330,585 Vol.
Yes
Germany
$166,599 Vol.
No
Germany
$166,599 Vol.
No
France
$176,842 Vol.
No
France
$176,842 Vol.
No
Brazil
$122,199 Vol.
No
Brazil
$122,199 Vol.
No
Argentina
$389,256 Vol.
No
Argentina
$389,256 Vol.
No
Israel
$660,292 Vol.
No
Israel
$660,292 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between April 14, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between April 14, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Created At: Apr 14, 2025, 4:42 PM ET
Volume
$6,686,490End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Apr 14, 2025, 4:42 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before July?
$6,686,490 Vol.
China
$376,494 Vol.
Yes
India
$485,051 Vol.
No
European Union
$792,209 Vol.
No
Japan
$532,685 Vol.
No
Canada
$548,798 Vol.
No
Mexico
$288,361 Vol.
No
South Korea
$861,231 Vol.
No
Vietnam
$504,367 Vol.
No
Australia
$451,521 Vol.
No
United Kingdom
$330,585 Vol.
Yes
Germany
$166,599 Vol.
No
France
$176,842 Vol.
No
Brazil
$122,199 Vol.
No
Argentina
$389,256 Vol.
No
Israel
$660,292 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$6,686,490End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Apr 14, 2025, 4:42 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.