Market icon

Which artists will have #1 hits in April?

Market icon

Which artists will have #1 hits in April?

$85,338 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$85,338 Vol.

Polymarket

Taylor Swift

$2,644 Vol.

10%

Kanye West

$1,558 Vol.

9%

Bruno Mars

$33,310 Vol.

7%

Olivia Dean

$4,832 Vol.

7%

Don Toliver

$200 Vol.

12%

Bad Bunny

$31,800 Vol.

6%

Alex Warren

$4,061 Vol.

6%

Noah Kahan

$6,931 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.BTS's "Swim" debuted at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated April 4, propelled by a massive album rollout flooding streaming platforms and radio, setting a high bar for April chart contenders amid strong K-pop momentum. Close challengers include Olivia Dean's "Man I Need" at No. 3 with surging airplay, Bruno Mars's steady "I Just Might" at No. 4, Alex Warren's "Ordinary" at No. 5, and Taylor Swift's "The Fate of Ophelia" re-entering top 10, all boasting crossover streaming appeal on Spotify Global daily charts that dictate Polymarket resolution. Bad Bunny looms as a perennial viral force, while Kanye West and others eye surprise surges. Watch mid-week tracking for April 11 Hot 100 and daily Spotify updates through April 30, as new releases like Zayn's April 17 album could reshape trajectories.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
Volume
$85,338
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.BTS's "Swim" debuted at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated April 4, propelled by a massive album rollout flooding streaming platforms and radio, setting a high bar for April chart contenders amid strong K-pop momentum. Close challengers include Olivia Dean's "Man I Need" at No. 3 with surging airplay, Bruno Mars's steady "I Just Might" at No. 4, Alex Warren's "Ordinary" at No. 5, and Taylor Swift's "The Fate of Ophelia" re-entering top 10, all boasting crossover streaming appeal on Spotify Global daily charts that dictate Polymarket resolution. Bad Bunny looms as a perennial viral force, while Kanye West and others eye surprise surges. Watch mid-week tracking for April 11 Hot 100 and daily Spotify updates through April 30, as new releases like Zayn's April 17 album could reshape trajectories.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
Volume
$85,338
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which artists will have #1 hits in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Don Toliver" at 12%, followed by "Taylor Swift" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which artists will have #1 hits in April?" has generated $85.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which artists will have #1 hits in April?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which artists will have #1 hits in April?" is "Don Toliver" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Taylor Swift" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which artists will have #1 hits in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.