Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts heavily toward silver (SI) settling below $75 in March at 58% implied probability, anchored by the current spot price near $31.60/oz and March 2025 futures at $32.40, amid a contango forward curve signaling moderate upside. This positioning reflects persistent supply deficits—projected at 149 million ounces for 2024 per the Silver Institute—offset by robust industrial demand from solar panels and EVs, which has driven a 30% YTD rally to 12-year highs above $32.80 last week. Recent Fed signals for further rate cuts (88% odds for November) and a weakening dollar bolster $75-$85 odds at 23.5% combined, though geopolitical risks and gold's surge above $2,650/oz introduce tail risks for higher bins; watch October CPI and FOMC for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhat will Silver (SI) settle at in March?
What will Silver (SI) settle at in March?
<$75 59%
$75-$80 17%
$80-$85 10%
$85-$90 7%
$15,192 Vol.
$15,192 Vol.
<$75
58%
$75-$80
14%
$80-$85
13%
$85-$90
7%
$90-$95
4%
$95-$100
2%
$100-$105
1%
$105-$110
1%
$110-$115
1%
>$115
1%
<$75 59%
$75-$80 17%
$80-$85 10%
$85-$90 7%
$15,192 Vol.
$15,192 Vol.
<$75
58%
$75-$80
14%
$80-$85
13%
$85-$90
7%
$90-$95
4%
$95-$100
2%
$100-$105
1%
$105-$110
1%
$110-$115
1%
>$115
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts heavily toward silver (SI) settling below $75 in March at 58% implied probability, anchored by the current spot price near $31.60/oz and March 2025 futures at $32.40, amid a contango forward curve signaling moderate upside. This positioning reflects persistent supply deficits—projected at 149 million ounces for 2024 per the Silver Institute—offset by robust industrial demand from solar panels and EVs, which has driven a 30% YTD rally to 12-year highs above $32.80 last week. Recent Fed signals for further rate cuts (88% odds for November) and a weakening dollar bolster $75-$85 odds at 23.5% combined, though geopolitical risks and gold's surge above $2,650/oz introduce tail risks for higher bins; watch October CPI and FOMC for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions