Market icon
Finance·Monthly

What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?

Market icon
Finance·Monthly

What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?

Ended: Apr 1

Ended: Apr 1

$46,139 Vol.

Apr 1, 2026
Polymarket

$46,139 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 21000

$0 Vol.

Yes

↑ 20500

$0 Vol.

Yes

↑ 20100

$0 Vol.

Yes

↑ 19700

$698 Vol.

Yes

↑ 19400

$596 Vol.

Yes

↑ 19200

$0 Vol.

Yes

↑ 19000

$0 Vol.

Yes

↓ 18800

$1,797 Vol.

No

↓ 18600

$2,599 Vol.

No

↓ 18400

$4,840 Vol.

No

↓ 18100

$3,600 Vol.

No

↓ 17800

$5,803 Vol.

No

↓ 17400

$24,222 Vol.

No

↓ 16900

$1,985 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for NYSE Composite (NYA) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for NYSE Composite (NYA). Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for NYSE Composite (NYA) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for NYSE Composite (NYA). Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.The NYSE Composite (^NYA) navigated heightened volatility in March 2026, opening near 23,000 early in the month before dipping to a low of 21,506 on March 30 amid Federal Reserve signals of steady interest rates, surging oil prices from Middle East tensions, and a tech-led Nasdaq correction exceeding 10%. It rebounded sharply 2.35% to close March 31 at 22,089.43, posting a net monthly decline of about 4% as trader consensus priced in resilient breadth outside mega-caps despite AI investment concerns and rising Treasury yields. Aggregated sentiment on prediction markets reflected low odds for breaches below 21,000, underscoring support from ongoing earnings growth; resolution hinges on official Yahoo Finance data, with April nonfarm payrolls poised to influence near-term index momentum.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for NYSE Composite (NYA) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for NYSE Composite (NYA).

Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$46,139
End Date
Apr 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for NYSE Composite (NYA) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for NYSE Composite (NYA). Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for NYSE Composite (NYA) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for NYSE Composite (NYA). Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for NYSE Composite (NYA) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for NYSE Composite (NYA). Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.The NYSE Composite (^NYA) navigated heightened volatility in March 2026, opening near 23,000 early in the month before dipping to a low of 21,506 on March 30 amid Federal Reserve signals of steady interest rates, surging oil prices from Middle East tensions, and a tech-led Nasdaq correction exceeding 10%. It rebounded sharply 2.35% to close March 31 at 22,089.43, posting a net monthly decline of about 4% as trader consensus priced in resilient breadth outside mega-caps despite AI investment concerns and rising Treasury yields. Aggregated sentiment on prediction markets reflected low odds for breaches below 21,000, underscoring support from ongoing earnings growth; resolution hinges on official Yahoo Finance data, with April nonfarm payrolls poised to influence near-term index momentum.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for NYSE Composite (NYA) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for NYSE Composite (NYA).

Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$46,139
End Date
Apr 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for NYSE Composite (NYA) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for NYSE Composite (NYA). Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ 21000" at 100%, followed by "↑ 20500" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?" has generated $46.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?" is "↑ 21000" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ 20500" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.