What will happen before GTA VI?
$12,180,713 Vol.
Asked by
Complex
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
New Playboi Carti Album
$576,853 Vol.
66%
New Playboi Carti Album
$576,853 Vol.
66%
GPT-6 released
$171,380 Vol.
63%
GPT-6 released
$171,380 Vol.
63%
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire
$375,260 Vol.
60%
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire
$375,260 Vol.
60%
New Rihanna Album
$369,211 Vol.
56%
New Rihanna Album
$369,211 Vol.
56%
China invades Taiwan
$905,309 Vol.
52%
China invades Taiwan
$905,309 Vol.
52%
Trump out as President
$306,770 Vol.
51%
Trump out as President
$306,770 Vol.
51%
Jesus Christ returns
$7,132,214 Vol.
49%
Jesus Christ returns
$7,132,214 Vol.
49%
Bitcoin hits $1m
$2,343,717 Vol.
49%
Bitcoin hits $1m
$2,343,717 Vol.
49%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
An announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, will not count.
The resolution source for Trump leaving the presidency will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
An announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, will not count.
The resolution source for Trump leaving the presidency will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: May 2, 2025, 3:47 PM
Volume
$12,180,713End Date
Jul 31, 2026Created At
May 2, 2025, 3:47 PMResolver
0x6A9D22261...$12,180,713 Vol.
Asked by
Complex
What will happen before GTA VI?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
New Playboi Carti Album
$576,853 Vol.
66%
GPT-6 released
$171,380 Vol.
63%
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire
$375,260 Vol.
60%
New Rihanna Album
$369,211 Vol.
56%
China invades Taiwan
$905,309 Vol.
52%
Trump out as President
$306,770 Vol.
51%
Jesus Christ returns
$7,132,214 Vol.
49%
Bitcoin hits $1m
$2,343,717 Vol.
49%
About
Volume
$12,180,713End Date
Jul 31, 2026Created At
May 2, 2025, 3:47 PMResolver
0x6A9D22261...



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