Rockstar Games' official June 2026 price announcement set the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI at $79.99 for its November 19 launch on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S, directly establishing the base game below the $100 threshold and driving the 98.1% market-implied probability for "No." This followed months of speculation that the blockbuster AAA title could reset industry norms at $100 or higher, given its massive development budget and cultural dominance, yet Take-Two Interactive opted for an $80 standard with a $99.99 Ultimate Edition featuring digital extras. Traders view the confirmed pricing as near-settled precedent, especially with pre-orders already open and no indications of last-minute hikes. A realistic upset would require an unexpected official increase before launch or a market-resolution criterion focused on bundles rather than the standard edition alone.