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icon for Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner
World·Samoa

Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner

icon for Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner
World·Samoa

Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 100.0%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni <1%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo <1%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo <1%

Polymarket

$12,358 Vol.

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 100.0%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni <1%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo <1%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo <1%

Polymarket

$12,358 Vol.

icon for Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

$2,832 Vol.

Yes

icon for Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

$1,186 Vol.

No

icon for Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

$4,909 Vol.

No

icon for Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

$3,431 Vol.

No

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia holds a commanding lead in the Vaimauga 3 by-election market due to his FAST party nomination in a constituency where the governing party has shown consistent strength in recent contests. The September 18 poll follows the Electoral Court's voiding of the prior result over bribery findings against both the May winner and challenger, upheld on appeal, which barred repeat candidates and opened a fragmented field of more than a dozen independents and party nominees. Mauia's prior 2025 general election run in the seat, combined with FAST's organizational resources and voter base, has consolidated support amid vote splitting among HRPP and independent contenders. Official results from Samoa's Electoral Commission would resolve the market, though late legal petitions or turnout anomalies remain theoretical risks in this multi-candidate environment.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$12,358
End Date
Sep 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia holds a commanding lead in the Vaimauga 3 by-election market due to his FAST party nomination in a constituency where the governing party has shown consistent strength in recent contests. The September 18 poll follows the Electoral Court's voiding of the prior result over bribery findings against both the May winner and challenger, upheld on appeal, which barred repeat candidates and opened a fragmented field of more than a dozen independents and party nominees. Mauia's prior 2025 general election run in the seat, combined with FAST's organizational resources and voter base, has consolidated support amid vote splitting among HRPP and independent contenders. Official results from Samoa's Electoral Commission would resolve the market, though late legal petitions or turnout anomalies remain theoretical risks in this multi-candidate environment.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$12,358
End Date
Sep 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia" at 100%, followed by "Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner" has generated $12.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner" is "Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.