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US debt downgrade in 2025?

$88,638 Vol.

>99% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between April 9 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$88,638
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Apr 10, 2025, 8:26 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Beware of external links.

$88,638 Vol.

Market icon

US debt downgrade in 2025?

>99% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between April 9 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$88,638
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Apr 10, 2025, 8:26 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

shield

Beware of external links.