Market icon

Trump approval rating on April 11?

45.5-45.9 100.0%

<45 <1%

45.0-45.4 <1%

46.0-46.4 <1%

$298,153 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 11, 2025.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$298,153
End Date
Apr 11, 2025
Created At
Apr 8, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 11, 2025. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Trump approval rating on April 11?

45.5-45.9 100.0%

<45 <1%

45.0-45.4 <1%

46.0-46.4 <1%

$298,153 Vol.

<45

$138,999 Vol.

No

45.0-45.4

$107,701 Vol.

No

45.5-45.9

$22,712 Vol.

Yes

46.0-46.4

$9,951 Vol.

No

46.5-46.9

$5,849 Vol.

No

47.0-47.4

$5,875 Vol.

No

47.5+

$7,067 Vol.

No

About

Volume
$298,153
End Date
Apr 11, 2025
Created At
Apr 8, 2025, 2:50 PM ET

Beware of external links.