Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 21?
48.5-48.9% 100.0%
<47.0% <1%
47.0-47.4% <1%
47.5-47.9% <1%
$247,208 Vol.
$247,208 Vol.
Feb 21, 2025
<47.0%
$12,705 Vol.
No
<47.0%
$12,705 Vol.
No
47.0-47.4%
$3,740 Vol.
No
47.0-47.4%
$3,740 Vol.
No
47.5-47.9%
$17,821 Vol.
No
47.5-47.9%
$17,821 Vol.
No
48.0-48.4%
$3,309 Vol.
No
48.0-48.4%
$3,309 Vol.
No
48.5-48.9%
$183,909 Vol.
Yes
48.5-48.9%
$183,909 Vol.
Yes
49.0-49.4%
$2,265 Vol.
No
49.0-49.4%
$2,265 Vol.
No
49.5-49.9%
$3,426 Vol.
No
49.5-49.9%
$3,426 Vol.
No
50.0-50.4%
$2,189 Vol.
No
50.0-50.4%
$2,189 Vol.
No
50.5-50.9%
$9,479 Vol.
No
50.5-50.9%
$9,479 Vol.
No
51.0% or more
$8,365 Vol.
No
51.0% or more
$8,365 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 21, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for February 21 must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 21, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for February 21 must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for February 21 must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Feb 14, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Volume
$247,208End Date
Feb 21, 2025Created At
Feb 14, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 21?
48.5-48.9% 100.0%
<47.0% <1%
47.0-47.4% <1%
47.5-47.9% <1%
$247,208 Vol.
$247,208 Vol.
Feb 21, 2025
<47.0%
$12,705 Vol.
No
47.0-47.4%
$3,740 Vol.
No
47.5-47.9%
$17,821 Vol.
No
48.0-48.4%
$3,309 Vol.
No
48.5-48.9%
$183,909 Vol.
Yes
49.0-49.4%
$2,265 Vol.
No
49.5-49.9%
$3,426 Vol.
No
50.0-50.4%
$2,189 Vol.
No
50.5-50.9%
$9,479 Vol.
No
51.0% or more
$8,365 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$247,208End Date
Feb 21, 2025Created At
Feb 14, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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