Market icon

The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)

<1% chance
Polymarket

$15,207 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met on February 20, 2026:

- Epstein Data Set 13 not released
- Dow Jones (DJI) closing price at least 50000

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

1. Epstein Data Set 13 not released

This market will resolve to "No" if Data Set 13 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

A qualifying data set will be labeled "Data Set 13 Files" on the U.S. Department of Justice website in the Epstein Library. Any additions to previously released data sets or file releases under data sets with names not exhibiting a sequential relationship similar to that between "Data Set 7 Files" and "Data Set 8 Files" will not be considered.

A partial release will qualify, so long as other qualifying conditions are met.

The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Department of Justice website (see: https://www.justice.gov/epstein/doj-disclosures).

2. Dow Jones (DJI) closing price at least 50000

This market will resolve to "No" if the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for Dow Jones (DJI) on the specified date is not at least 50000.

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If the specified day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Dow Jones Industrial Average for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

If DJI does not trade at all during the regular session of the specified date, the most recent closing price will be used.

The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Volume
$15,207
End Date
Feb 20, 2026
Created At
Feb 12, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met on February 20, 2026: - Epstein Data Set 13 not released - Dow Jones (DJI) closing price at least 50000 Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1. Epstein Data Set 13 not released This market will resolve to "No" if Data Set 13 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying data set will be labeled "Data Set 13 Files" on the U.S. Department of Justice website in the Epstein Library. Any additions to previously released data sets or file releases under data sets with names not exhibiting a sequential relationship similar to that between "Data Set 7 Files" and "Data Set 8 Files" will not be considered. A partial release will qualify, so long as other qualifying conditions are met. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Department of Justice website (see: https://www.justice.gov/epstein/doj-disclosures). 2. Dow Jones (DJI) closing price at least 50000 This market will resolve to "No" if the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for Dow Jones (DJI) on the specified date is not at least 50000. If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the specified day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Dow Jones Industrial Average for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. If DJI does not trade at all during the regular session of the specified date, the most recent closing price will be used. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)" has generated $15.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)

<1% chance
Polymarket

$15,207 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met on February 20, 2026:

- Epstein Data Set 13 not released
- Dow Jones (DJI) closing price at least 50000

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

1. Epstein Data Set 13 not released

This market will resolve to "No" if Data Set 13 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

A qualifying data set will be labeled "Data Set 13 Files" on the U.S. Department of Justice website in the Epstein Library. Any additions to previously released data sets or file releases under data sets with names not exhibiting a sequential relationship similar to that between "Data Set 7 Files" and "Data Set 8 Files" will not be considered.

A partial release will qualify, so long as other qualifying conditions are met.

The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Department of Justice website (see: https://www.justice.gov/epstein/doj-disclosures).

2. Dow Jones (DJI) closing price at least 50000

This market will resolve to "No" if the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for Dow Jones (DJI) on the specified date is not at least 50000.

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If the specified day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Dow Jones Industrial Average for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

If DJI does not trade at all during the regular session of the specified date, the most recent closing price will be used.

The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Volume
$15,207
End Date
Feb 20, 2026
Created At
Feb 12, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met on February 20, 2026: - Epstein Data Set 13 not released - Dow Jones (DJI) closing price at least 50000 Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1. Epstein Data Set 13 not released This market will resolve to "No" if Data Set 13 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying data set will be labeled "Data Set 13 Files" on the U.S. Department of Justice website in the Epstein Library. Any additions to previously released data sets or file releases under data sets with names not exhibiting a sequential relationship similar to that between "Data Set 7 Files" and "Data Set 8 Files" will not be considered. A partial release will qualify, so long as other qualifying conditions are met. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Department of Justice website (see: https://www.justice.gov/epstein/doj-disclosures). 2. Dow Jones (DJI) closing price at least 50000 This market will resolve to "No" if the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for Dow Jones (DJI) on the specified date is not at least 50000. If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the specified day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Dow Jones Industrial Average for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. If DJI does not trade at all during the regular session of the specified date, the most recent closing price will be used. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)" has generated $15.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.