The S&P 500 closed March 31 at 6,528.52, up 2.91% for the day but roughly 6.8% below its all-time high of 7,002.28 reached intraday on January 28, reflecting trader consensus on heightened geopolitical risks from the U.S.-Iran conflict that erupted February 28, spiking oil prices over 50% in March and fueling inflation fears despite Federal Reserve signals against near-term hikes. This pressured equities amid forced liquidations across assets, with the index posting a monthly decline and YTD return of -4.63%. Upcoming Q1 earnings season starting this week, April FOMC meeting, and further Middle East developments on oil supply could determine if trader sentiment shifts toward reclaiming records or deepens the correction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$358,347 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
February 20
No
March 31
No
$358,347 Vol.
February 20
$24,215 Vol.
No
March 31
$334,132 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves an intraday high price greater than 7,002.28 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).The S&P 500 closed March 31 at 6,528.52, up 2.91% for the day but roughly 6.8% below its all-time high of 7,002.28 reached intraday on January 28, reflecting trader consensus on heightened geopolitical risks from the U.S.-Iran conflict that erupted February 28, spiking oil prices over 50% in March and fueling inflation fears despite Federal Reserve signals against near-term hikes. This pressured equities amid forced liquidations across assets, with the index posting a monthly decline and YTD return of -4.63%. Upcoming Q1 earnings season starting this week, April FOMC meeting, and further Middle East developments on oil supply could determine if trader sentiment shifts toward reclaiming records or deepens the correction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves an intraday high price greater than 7,002.28 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).
This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).
Market Opened: Feb 12, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$358,347End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 12, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves an intraday high price greater than 7,002.28 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).The S&P 500 closed March 31 at 6,528.52, up 2.91% for the day but roughly 6.8% below its all-time high of 7,002.28 reached intraday on January 28, reflecting trader consensus on heightened geopolitical risks from the U.S.-Iran conflict that erupted February 28, spiking oil prices over 50% in March and fueling inflation fears despite Federal Reserve signals against near-term hikes. This pressured equities amid forced liquidations across assets, with the index posting a monthly decline and YTD return of -4.63%. Upcoming Q1 earnings season starting this week, April FOMC meeting, and further Middle East developments on oil supply could determine if trader sentiment shifts toward reclaiming records or deepens the correction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves an intraday high price greater than 7,002.28 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).
This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).
Volume
$358,347End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 12, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The S&P 500 closed March 31 at 6,528.52, up 2.91% for the day but roughly 6.8% below its all-time high of 7,002.28 reached intraday on January 28, reflecting trader consensus on heightened geopolitical risks from the U.S.-Iran conflict that erupted February 28, spiking oil prices over 50% in March and fueling inflation fears despite Federal Reserve signals against near-term hikes. This pressured equities amid forced liquidations across assets, with the index posting a monthly decline and YTD return of -4.63%. Upcoming Q1 earnings season starting this week, April FOMC meeting, and further Middle East developments on oil supply could determine if trader sentiment shifts toward reclaiming records or deepens the correction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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