S&P 500 predictions & odds

Finance·Commodities

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

$915K Vol.

$43.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

55%

S&P 500

$915K Vol.

$43.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·Equities

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 10?

$11.2K Vol.

$43.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 hour

99%

$750

$11.2K Vol.

$43.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 hour

Finance·IPO

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

$27.3K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

<1%

$27.3K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Crypto·Bitcoin

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?

$148K Vol.

$389 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31, 2026

$148K Vol.

$389 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·Equities

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 11?

$597 Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

99%

$735

$597 Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Finance·Indicies

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?

$64.1K Vol.

$64.1K today

$11.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 hour

$64.1K Vol.

$64.1K today

$11.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 hour

Finance·Equities

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 29?

$66.9K Vol.

$66.6K today

$3M Liq.

100%

$725

$66.9K Vol.

$66.6K today

$3M Liq.

Finance·Indicies

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11?

$0 Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

67%

$0 Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Finance·Indicies

What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

$42.2K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

44%

>$8,000

$42.2K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·Indicies

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 10?

$10.5K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 hour

<1%

$10.5K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 hour

Finance·Indicies

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 11?

$0 Vol.

$645 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

61%

$0 Vol.

$645 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Finance·Indicies

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 29?

$112K Vol.

$111K today

$287K Liq.

<1%

$112K Vol.

$111K today

$287K Liq.

Finance·Equities

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 7 2026?

$32.3K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

61%

↑ $760

$32.3K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Finance·Indicies

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 29?

$26.1K Vol.

$291K Liq.

<1%

$26.1K Vol.

$291K Liq.

Finance·Indicies

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

$345K Vol.

$67.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

73%

↓ $7,400

$345K Vol.

$67.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·Equities

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?

$82.3K Vol.

$82.3K today

$15.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 hour

<1%

$82.3K Vol.

$82.3K today

$15.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 hour

Finance·Equities

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?

$92.5K Vol.

$38.6K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

71%

↓ $750

$92.5K Vol.

$38.6K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Finance·Equities

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29?

$99.1K Vol.

$97.0K today

$296K Liq.

<1%

$99.1K Vol.

$97.0K today

$296K Liq.

Finance·Equities

SPY Opens Up or Down on September 10?

$438 Vol.

$106 Liq.

Ends in about 1 hour

$438 Vol.

$106 Liq.

Ends in about 1 hour

Finance·Equities

SPY Opens Up or Down on July 29?

$255 Vol.

$276K Liq.

<1%

$255 Vol.

$276K Liq.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like S&P 500.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for S&P 500 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 55% chance to S&P 500. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on S&P 500 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for S&P 500 shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the S&P 500 prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the S&P 500 prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

S&P 500 predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of S&P 500 prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do S&P 500 markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top S&P 500 prediction?

Why use Polymarket for S&P 500 predictions?

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How do I get started with S&P 500 markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of S&P 500 prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do S&P 500 markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top S&P 500 prediction?

Why use Polymarket for S&P 500 predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s S&P 500 odds?

Can I track S&P 500 predictions without trading?

How do I get started with S&P 500 markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

S&P 500 predictions & odds