Precipitation in Seattle in January?
3-4" 100.0%
<3" <1%
4-5" <1%
5-6" <1%
$124,636 Vol.
$124,636 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
<3"
$40,056 Vol.
No
3-4"
$36,792 Vol.
Yes
4-5"
$29,401 Vol.
No
5-6"
$4,160 Vol.
No
6-7"
$5,157 Vol.
No
7-8"
$4,750 Vol.
No
>8"
$4,319 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between January 1 and January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for January 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of January 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between January 1 and January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for January 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of January 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for January 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of January 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Created At: Jan 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$124,636End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Jan 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Precipitation in Seattle in January?
3-4" 100.0%
<3" <1%
4-5" <1%
5-6" <1%
$124,636 Vol.
$124,636 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
<3"
$40,056 Vol.
No
3-4"
$36,792 Vol.
Yes
4-5"
$29,401 Vol.
No
5-6"
$4,160 Vol.
No
6-7"
$5,157 Vol.
No
7-8"
$4,750 Vol.
No
>8"
$4,319 Vol.
No
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions
"Precipitation in Seattle in January?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "3-4"" at 100%, followed by "<3"" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Precipitation in Seattle in January?" has generated $124.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Precipitation in Seattle in January?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Precipitation in Seattle in January?" is "3-4"" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<3"" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Precipitation in Seattle in January?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions