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Polish Presidential Elections: Cities

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Polish Presidential Elections: Cities

$25,350 Vol.

Jun 1, 2025
Polymarket

$25,350 Vol.

Polymarket

Warsaw

$4,196 Vol.

Trzaskowski

Kraków

$8,467 Vol.

Trzaskowski

Łódź

$6,840 Vol.

Trzaskowski

Wrocław

$5,847 Vol.

Trzaskowski

This market will resolve to "Trzaskowski" if Rafał Trzaskowski receives more total votes than Karol Nawrocki in Warsaw in the second round of the 2025 Polish presidential election. This market will resolve to "Nawrocki" if Karol Nawrocki receives more total votes than Rafał Trzaskowski in Warsaw. If votes cast within Warsaw are exactly equal for each candidate, this market will resolve 50-50. Only votes cast within the listed city will count for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by Poland’s National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW), specifically the results for "Warszawa" (see: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pow/146501). If the results for the listed city are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until the final official totals are confirmed by a ruling from the Supreme Court and published in the Journal of Laws (Dziennik Ustaw). Official results can be found at: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/plThis market will resolve to "Trzaskowski" if Rafał Trzaskowski receives more total votes than Karol Nawrocki in Kraków in the second round of the 2025 Polish presidential election. This market will resolve to "Nawrocki" if Karol Nawrocki receives more total votes than Rafał Trzaskowski in Kraków. If votes cast within Kraków are exactly equal for each candidate, this market will resolve 50-50. Only votes cast within the listed city will count for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by Poland’s National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW), specifically the results for "City county Kraków" (see: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pow/126100). If the results for the listed city are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until the final official totals are confirmed by a ruling from the Supreme Court and published in the Journal of Laws (Dziennik Ustaw). Official results can be found at: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/plThis market will resolve to "Trzaskowski" if Rafał Trzaskowski receives more total votes than Karol Nawrocki in Łódź in the second round of the 2025 Polish presidential election. This market will resolve to "Nawrocki" if Karol Nawrocki receives more total votes than Rafał Trzaskowski in Łódź. If votes cast within Łódź are exactly equal for each candidate, this market will resolve 50-50. Only votes cast within the listed city will count for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by Poland’s National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW), specifically the results for "City county Łódź" (see: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pow/106100). If the results for the listed city are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until the final official totals are confirmed by a ruling from the Supreme Court and published in the Journal of Laws (Dziennik Ustaw). Official results can be found at: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/plThis market will resolve to "Trzaskowski" if Rafał Trzaskowski receives more total votes than Karol Nawrocki in Wrocław in the second round of the 2025 Polish presidential election. This market will resolve to "Nawrocki" if Karol Nawrocki receives more total votes than Rafał Trzaskowski in Wrocław. If votes cast within Wrocław are exactly equal for each candidate, this market will resolve 50-50. Only votes cast within the listed city will count for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by Poland’s National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW), specifically the results for "City county Wrocław" (see: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pow/26400). If the results for the listed city are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until the final official totals are confirmed by a ruling from the Supreme Court and published in the Journal of Laws (Dziennik Ustaw). Official results can be found at: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pl

This market will resolve to "Trzaskowski" if Rafał Trzaskowski receives more total votes than Karol Nawrocki in Warsaw in the second round of the 2025 Polish presidential election.
This market will resolve to "Nawrocki" if Karol Nawrocki receives more total votes than Rafał Trzaskowski in Warsaw.
If votes cast within Warsaw are exactly equal for each candidate, this market will resolve 50-50.

Only votes cast within the listed city will count for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by Poland’s National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW), specifically the results for "Warszawa" (see: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pow/146501).

If the results for the listed city are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until the final official totals are confirmed by a ruling from the Supreme Court and published in the Journal of Laws (Dziennik Ustaw).

Official results can be found at: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pl
Volume
$25,350
End Date
Jun 1, 2025
Market Opened
May 20, 2025, 8:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Trzaskowski" if Rafał Trzaskowski receives more total votes than Karol Nawrocki in Warsaw in the second round of the 2025 Polish presidential election. This market will resolve to "Nawrocki" if Karol Nawrocki receives more total votes than Rafał Trzaskowski in Warsaw. If votes cast within Warsaw are exactly equal for each candidate, this market will resolve 50-50. Only votes cast within the listed city will count for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by Poland’s National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW), specifically the results for "Warszawa" (see: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pow/146501). If the results for the listed city are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until the final official totals are confirmed by a ruling from the Supreme Court and published in the Journal of Laws (Dziennik Ustaw). Official results can be found at: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pl

Outcome proposed: Trzaskowski

No dispute

Final outcome: Trzaskowski

This market will resolve to "Trzaskowski" if Rafał Trzaskowski receives more total votes than Karol Nawrocki in Warsaw in the second round of the 2025 Polish presidential election. This market will resolve to "Nawrocki" if Karol Nawrocki receives more total votes than Rafał Trzaskowski in Warsaw. If votes cast within Warsaw are exactly equal for each candidate, this market will resolve 50-50. Only votes cast within the listed city will count for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by Poland’s National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW), specifically the results for "Warszawa" (see: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pow/146501). If the results for the listed city are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until the final official totals are confirmed by a ruling from the Supreme Court and published in the Journal of Laws (Dziennik Ustaw). Official results can be found at: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/plThis market will resolve to "Trzaskowski" if Rafał Trzaskowski receives more total votes than Karol Nawrocki in Kraków in the second round of the 2025 Polish presidential election. This market will resolve to "Nawrocki" if Karol Nawrocki receives more total votes than Rafał Trzaskowski in Kraków. If votes cast within Kraków are exactly equal for each candidate, this market will resolve 50-50. Only votes cast within the listed city will count for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by Poland’s National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW), specifically the results for "City county Kraków" (see: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pow/126100). If the results for the listed city are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until the final official totals are confirmed by a ruling from the Supreme Court and published in the Journal of Laws (Dziennik Ustaw). Official results can be found at: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/plThis market will resolve to "Trzaskowski" if Rafał Trzaskowski receives more total votes than Karol Nawrocki in Łódź in the second round of the 2025 Polish presidential election. This market will resolve to "Nawrocki" if Karol Nawrocki receives more total votes than Rafał Trzaskowski in Łódź. If votes cast within Łódź are exactly equal for each candidate, this market will resolve 50-50. Only votes cast within the listed city will count for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by Poland’s National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW), specifically the results for "City county Łódź" (see: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pow/106100). If the results for the listed city are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until the final official totals are confirmed by a ruling from the Supreme Court and published in the Journal of Laws (Dziennik Ustaw). Official results can be found at: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/plThis market will resolve to "Trzaskowski" if Rafał Trzaskowski receives more total votes than Karol Nawrocki in Wrocław in the second round of the 2025 Polish presidential election. This market will resolve to "Nawrocki" if Karol Nawrocki receives more total votes than Rafał Trzaskowski in Wrocław. If votes cast within Wrocław are exactly equal for each candidate, this market will resolve 50-50. Only votes cast within the listed city will count for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by Poland’s National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW), specifically the results for "City county Wrocław" (see: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pow/26400). If the results for the listed city are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until the final official totals are confirmed by a ruling from the Supreme Court and published in the Journal of Laws (Dziennik Ustaw). Official results can be found at: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pl

This market will resolve to "Trzaskowski" if Rafał Trzaskowski receives more total votes than Karol Nawrocki in Warsaw in the second round of the 2025 Polish presidential election.
This market will resolve to "Nawrocki" if Karol Nawrocki receives more total votes than Rafał Trzaskowski in Warsaw.
If votes cast within Warsaw are exactly equal for each candidate, this market will resolve 50-50.

Only votes cast within the listed city will count for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by Poland’s National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW), specifically the results for "Warszawa" (see: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pow/146501).

If the results for the listed city are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until the final official totals are confirmed by a ruling from the Supreme Court and published in the Journal of Laws (Dziennik Ustaw).

Official results can be found at: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pl
Volume
$25,350
End Date
Jun 1, 2025
Market Opened
May 20, 2025, 8:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Trzaskowski" if Rafał Trzaskowski receives more total votes than Karol Nawrocki in Warsaw in the second round of the 2025 Polish presidential election. This market will resolve to "Nawrocki" if Karol Nawrocki receives more total votes than Rafał Trzaskowski in Warsaw. If votes cast within Warsaw are exactly equal for each candidate, this market will resolve 50-50. Only votes cast within the listed city will count for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by Poland’s National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW), specifically the results for "Warszawa" (see: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pow/146501). If the results for the listed city are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until the final official totals are confirmed by a ruling from the Supreme Court and published in the Journal of Laws (Dziennik Ustaw). Official results can be found at: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pl

Outcome proposed: Trzaskowski

No dispute

Final outcome: Trzaskowski

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Polish Presidential Elections: Cities " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Warsaw" at 100%, followed by "Kraków" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Polish Presidential Elections: Cities " has generated $25.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 21, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Polish Presidential Elections: Cities ," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Polish Presidential Elections: Cities " is "Warsaw" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kraków" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Polish Presidential Elections: Cities " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.