Poland predictions & odds

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Russian strike on Poland by...?

Russian strike on Poland by...?

6%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

245

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$60.9K Liq.

57

X banned in any European country by December 31?

X banned in any European country by December 31?

26%

$4.6K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

6%

$107K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

11

Ends in 3 months

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by...?

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by...?

9%

April 30

$2.4K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 14 days

Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

37%

Finland

$89M Vol.

$2M today

$14M Liq.

370

Ends in about 1 month

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

100%

Iraq

$3M Vol.

$2M today

$3M Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

31%

France

$1M Vol.

$859K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

39%

Israel

$6M Vol.

$1M Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 month

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

91%

Finland

$365K Vol.

$347K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

81%

Finland

$93.1K Vol.

$269K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final

Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final

98%

Finland

$466K Vol.

$150K Liq.

1

Ends in 26 days

Eurovision 2026: Top 3

Eurovision 2026: Top 3

72%

Finland

$73.6K Vol.

$256K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Eurovision Last Place 2026

Eurovision Last Place 2026

25%

Austria

$55.3K Vol.

$137K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Men's Doubles) Winner

2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Men's Doubles) Winner

97%

Darrian Young / Wyatt Stone

$500 Vol.

$230 Liq.

Ends in 18 days

2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Men's Singles) Winner

2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Men's Singles) Winner

98%

Alexander Crum

$0 Vol.

$422K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

UEFA Europa Conference League: Home country of champion

UEFA Europa Conference League: Home country of champion

30%

Italy

$7.8K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Zelenskyy # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?

50%

40-59

$973 Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Zelenskyy # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

66%

60-79

$6.8K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

17%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.2K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Poland.

Polymarket currently hosts 130 active markets for Poland that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Russian strike on Poland by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $106.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “X banned in any European country by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Eurovision Winner 2026,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Eurovision Winner 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 37% chance to Finland. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Poland predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.