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Politics·Mayoral Elections

Marseille Mayoral Election Winner

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Politics·Mayoral Elections

Marseille Mayoral Election Winner

Benoît Payan 100.0%

Erwann Davoux <1%

Franck Allisio <1%

Sébastien Delogu <1%

Polymarket

$281,124 Vol.

Benoît Payan 100.0%

Erwann Davoux <1%

Franck Allisio <1%

Sébastien Delogu <1%

Polymarket

$281,124 Vol.

Market icon

Benoît Payan

$208,644 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Erwann Davoux

$72,481 Vol.

No

Market icon

Franck Allisio

$0 Vol.

No

Market icon

Sébastien Delogu

$0 Vol.

No

Market icon

Martine Vassal

$0 Vol.

No

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Benoît Payan secured re-election as Marseille mayor in the March 22, 2026, second-round municipal vote, capturing around 54% against Rassemblement National challenger Franck Allisio's 39% and Les Républicains' Martine Vassal in a three-way race, reflecting strong left-wing union support excluding La France Insoumise. His first-round lead of 37% set up the favorable runoff, bolstered by incumbency advantages and voter mobilization against far-right gains seen nationally. Official confirmation came March 28 via council installation with 73 votes, driving trader consensus to 100% certainty. Legal challenges or recounts remain theoretical risks but face high barriers given the margin and procedural finality.

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$281,124
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Benoît Payan secured re-election as Marseille mayor in the March 22, 2026, second-round municipal vote, capturing around 54% against Rassemblement National challenger Franck Allisio's 39% and Les Républicains' Martine Vassal in a three-way race, reflecting strong left-wing union support excluding La France Insoumise. His first-round lead of 37% set up the favorable runoff, bolstered by incumbency advantages and voter mobilization against far-right gains seen nationally. Official confirmation came March 28 via council installation with 73 votes, driving trader consensus to 100% certainty. Legal challenges or recounts remain theoretical risks but face high barriers given the margin and procedural finality.

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$281,124
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Marseille Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Benoît Payan" at 100%, followed by "Erwann Davoux" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Marseille Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $281.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Marseille Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Marseille Mayoral Election Winner" is "Benoît Payan" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Erwann Davoux" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Marseille Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.