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Elections·NYC Mayor

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Market icon
Elections·NYC Mayor

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

10% chance
Polymarket

$22,939 Vol.

10% chance
Polymarket

$22,939 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 90.5% for New York State Assemblymember Zohran Mamdani's citizenship revocation before 2027, driven by the absence of any official Department of Justice proceedings, indictments, or investigations targeting his naturalized status obtained after immigrating from Uganda as a child. Denaturalization remains exceedingly rare, requiring civil proof of naturalization fraud, illegal procurement, or specific crimes like terrorism—none substantiated against Mamdani despite partisan online rhetoric tied to his democratic socialist advocacy on issues like Palestine and immigration. No recent court filings, agency actions from DHS or ICE, or legislative pushes alter this, with the multi-year litigation timeline further diminishing pre-2027 feasibility barring unforeseen scandals or evidence.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 90.5% for New York State Assemblymember Zohran Mamdani's citizenship revocation before 2027, driven by the absence of any official Department of Justice proceedings, indictments, or investigations targeting his naturalized status obtained after immigrating from Uganda as a child. Denaturalization remains exceedingly rare, requiring civil proof of naturalization fraud, illegal procurement, or specific crimes like terrorism—none substantiated against Mamdani despite partisan online rhetoric tied to his democratic socialist advocacy on issues like Palestine and immigration. No recent court filings, agency actions from DHS or ICE, or legislative pushes alter this, with the multi-year litigation timeline further diminishing pre-2027 feasibility barring unforeseen scandals or evidence.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 90.5% for New York State Assemblymember Zohran Mamdani's citizenship revocation before 2027, driven by the absence of any official Department of Justice proceedings, indictments, or investigations targeting his naturalized status obtained after immigrating from Uganda as a child. Denaturalization remains exceedingly rare, requiring civil proof of naturalization fraud, illegal procurement, or specific crimes like terrorism—none substantiated against Mamdani despite partisan online rhetoric tied to his democratic socialist advocacy on issues like Palestine and immigration. No recent court filings, agency actions from DHS or ICE, or legislative pushes alter this, with the multi-year litigation timeline further diminishing pre-2027 feasibility barring unforeseen scandals or evidence.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 90.5% for New York State Assemblymember Zohran Mamdani's citizenship revocation before 2027, driven by the absence of any official Department of Justice proceedings, indictments, or investigations targeting his naturalized status obtained after immigrating from Uganda as a child. Denaturalization remains exceedingly rare, requiring civil proof of naturalization fraud, illegal procurement, or specific crimes like terrorism—none substantiated against Mamdani despite partisan online rhetoric tied to his democratic socialist advocacy on issues like Palestine and immigration. No recent court filings, agency actions from DHS or ICE, or legislative pushes alter this, with the multi-year litigation timeline further diminishing pre-2027 feasibility barring unforeseen scandals or evidence.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 10% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 10¢, the market collectively assigns a 10% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" has generated $22.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" is 10% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 10% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.