January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.10–1.14ºC 47%
1.05–1.09ºC 34%
1.15–1.19ºC 13%
1.00–1.04ºC 5%
$391,501 Vol.
$391,501 Vol.
Feb 10, 2026
<1.00ºC
$30,546 Vol.
3%
<1.00ºC
$30,546 Vol.
3%
1.00–1.04ºC
$85,917 Vol.
5%
1.00–1.04ºC
$85,917 Vol.
5%
1.05–1.09ºC
$57,546 Vol.
34%
1.05–1.09ºC
$57,546 Vol.
34%
1.10–1.14ºC
$40,052 Vol.
47%
1.10–1.14ºC
$40,052 Vol.
47%
1.15–1.19ºC
$52,449 Vol.
13%
1.15–1.19ºC
$52,449 Vol.
13%
>1.19ºC
$124,992 Vol.
2%
>1.19ºC
$124,992 Vol.
2%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for January 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for January 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for January 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for January 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for January 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for January 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Created At: Dec 29, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$391,501End Date
Feb 10, 2026Created At
Dec 29, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.10–1.14ºC 47%
1.05–1.09ºC 34%
1.15–1.19ºC 13%
1.00–1.04ºC 5%
$391,501 Vol.
$391,501 Vol.
Feb 10, 2026
<1.00ºC
$30,546 Vol.
3%
1.00–1.04ºC
$85,917 Vol.
5%
1.05–1.09ºC
$57,546 Vol.
34%
1.10–1.14ºC
$40,052 Vol.
47%
1.15–1.19ºC
$52,449 Vol.
13%
>1.19ºC
$124,992 Vol.
2%
About
Volume
$391,501End Date
Feb 10, 2026Created At
Dec 29, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.