Market icon
Politics·Hungary Election

Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?

Market icon
Politics·Hungary Election

Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?

$163,390 Vol.

Apr 12, 2026
Polymarket

$163,390 Vol.

Polymarket

80+

$99,402 Vol.

59%

90+

$43,686 Vol.

44%

100+

$8,722 Vol.

28%

110+

$11,580 Vol.

15%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 will allocate 199 seats in the National Assembly through a mixed system of 106 single-member constituencies and 93 proportional list seats, requiring 100 for a majority government. Incumbent Fidesz-KDNP alliance under Prime Minister Viktor Orbán trails challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party in late-March independent polls like Median's 58%-35% lead among decided voters, though government-aligned surveys show a tighter race amid economic discontent and corruption claims. A March 27 documentary alleged Fidesz orchestrated rural vote-buying targeting 600,000 voters via cash and coercion. Campaign rhetoric intensified with Orbán accusing Ukraine of election meddling via spies, as final rallies mobilize turnout in the 50-day official period ending voting day.

Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 will allocate 199 seats in the National Assembly through a mixed system of 106 single-member constituencies and 93 proportional list seats, requiring 100 for a majority government. Incumbent Fidesz-KDNP alliance under Prime Minister Viktor Orbán trails challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party in late-March independent polls like Median's 58%-35% lead among decided voters, though government-aligned surveys show a tighter race amid economic discontent and corruption claims. A March 27 documentary alleged Fidesz orchestrated rural vote-buying targeting 600,000 voters via cash and coercion. Campaign rhetoric intensified with Orbán accusing Ukraine of election meddling via spies, as final rallies mobilize turnout in the 50-day official period ending voting day.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 will allocate 199 seats in the National Assembly through a mixed system of 106 single-member constituencies and 93 proportional list seats, requiring 100 for a majority government. Incumbent Fidesz-KDNP alliance under Prime Minister Viktor Orbán trails challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party in late-March independent polls like Median's 58%-35% lead among decided voters, though government-aligned surveys show a tighter race amid economic discontent and corruption claims. A March 27 documentary alleged Fidesz orchestrated rural vote-buying targeting 600,000 voters via cash and coercion. Campaign rhetoric intensified with Orbán accusing Ukraine of election meddling via spies, as final rallies mobilize turnout in the 50-day official period ending voting day.

Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 will allocate 199 seats in the National Assembly through a mixed system of 106 single-member constituencies and 93 proportional list seats, requiring 100 for a majority government. Incumbent Fidesz-KDNP alliance under Prime Minister Viktor Orbán trails challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party in late-March independent polls like Median's 58%-35% lead among decided voters, though government-aligned surveys show a tighter race amid economic discontent and corruption claims. A March 27 documentary alleged Fidesz orchestrated rural vote-buying targeting 600,000 voters via cash and coercion. Campaign rhetoric intensified with Orbán accusing Ukraine of election meddling via spies, as final rallies mobilize turnout in the 50-day official period ending voting day.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Market icon

Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

26%
Market icon

Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

66%
Market icon

Will Fidesz-KDNP win 40-44% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

35%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "80+" at 59%, followed by "90+" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?" has generated $163.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?" is "80+" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "90+" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.