Market icon

How long will Trump and Machado shake hands for when they meet?

Market icon

How long will Trump and Machado shake hands for when they meet?

No Handshake 100.0%

<2s <1%

2–6s <1%

6–10s <1%

Polymarket

$408,738 Vol.

No Handshake 100.0%

<2s <1%

2–6s <1%

6–10s <1%

Polymarket

$408,738 Vol.

No Handshake

$157,507 Vol.

Yes

<2s

$36,370 Vol.

No

2–6s

$38,989 Vol.

No

6–10s

$39,060 Vol.

No

10–15s

$16,588 Vol.

No

15s+

$14,241 Vol.

No

Photographed only

$105,983 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Maria Machado between market creation and January 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Any handshake recorded between market creation and that date (ET) will qualify.

If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.

If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".

Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.

If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.

Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.

The resolution source will be video footage.
Volume
$408,738
End Date
Jan 16, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 13, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Maria Machado between market creation and January 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Any handshake recorded between market creation and that date (ET) will qualify. If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. The resolution source will be video footage.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"How long will Trump and Machado shake hands for when they meet?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Handshake" at 100%, followed by "<2s" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How long will Trump and Machado shake hands for when they meet?" has generated $408.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How long will Trump and Machado shake hands for when they meet?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How long will Trump and Machado shake hands for when they meet?" is "No Handshake" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<2s" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How long will Trump and Machado shake hands for when they meet?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.