How long will Trump and Machado shake hands for when they meet?
No Handshake 100.0%
<2s <1%
2–6s <1%
6–10s <1%
$408,738 Vol
$408,738 Vol
Jan 16, 2026
No Handshake
$157,507 Vol.
Yes
No Handshake
$157,507 Vol.
Yes
<2s
$36,370 Vol.
No
<2s
$36,370 Vol.
No
2–6s
$38,989 Vol.
No
2–6s
$38,989 Vol.
No
6–10s
$39,060 Vol.
No
6–10s
$39,060 Vol.
No
10–15s
$16,588 Vol.
No
10–15s
$16,588 Vol.
No
15s+
$14,241 Vol.
No
15s+
$14,241 Vol.
No
Photographed only
$105,983 Vol.
No
Photographed only
$105,983 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Maria Machado between market creation and January 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Any handshake recorded between market creation and that date (ET) will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Created At: Jan 13, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$408,738End Date
Jan 16, 2026Created At
Jan 13, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
How long will Trump and Machado shake hands for when they meet?
No Handshake 100.0%
<2s <1%
2–6s <1%
6–10s <1%
$408,738 Vol
$408,738 Vol
Jan 16, 2026
No Handshake
$157,507 Vol.
Yes
<2s
$36,370 Vol.
No
2–6s
$38,989 Vol.
No
6–10s
$39,060 Vol.
No
10–15s
$16,588 Vol.
No
15s+
$14,241 Vol.
No
Photographed only
$105,983 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$408,738End Date
Jan 16, 2026Created At
Jan 13, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.