Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (32%) and 24°C (31%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 4 at Tianhe International Airport, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's latest evening forecast—relayed via Hong Kong Observatory—of a cloudy day with a projected maximum of 24°C and minimum of 11°C. This follows today's observed mild conditions around 20-22°C amid drizzle, with global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing minor divergence of 1°C due to uncertainties in cloud thickness and timing, which modulate surface insolation and peak heating in early afternoon. Historical early-April highs average 22°C, but a stable mild air mass supports the narrow 23-24°C range; airport hourly observations will resolve the market by day's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 4?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 4?
23°C 32%
24°C 31%
22°C 16.5%
25°C 16%
$12,831 Vol.
$12,831 Vol.
21°C or below
3%
22°C
17%
23°C
32%
24°C
31%
25°C
16%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 32%
24°C 31%
22°C 16.5%
25°C 16%
$12,831 Vol.
$12,831 Vol.
21°C or below
3%
22°C
17%
23°C
32%
24°C
31%
25°C
16%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (32%) and 24°C (31%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 4 at Tianhe International Airport, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's latest evening forecast—relayed via Hong Kong Observatory—of a cloudy day with a projected maximum of 24°C and minimum of 11°C. This follows today's observed mild conditions around 20-22°C amid drizzle, with global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing minor divergence of 1°C due to uncertainties in cloud thickness and timing, which modulate surface insolation and peak heating in early afternoon. Historical early-April highs average 22°C, but a stable mild air mass supports the narrow 23-24°C range; airport hourly observations will resolve the market by day's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions