India Meteorological Department forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Lucknow's highest temperature on March 20 at 30-32°C, underpinned by persistent northerly winds suppressing heat advection and partly cloudy skies limiting solar insolation, fueling unanimous trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or below. Historical March maxima in Lucknow average 30.5°C, with deviations rarely exceeding 35°C before late month, aligning with current upper-air patterns showing stable mid-tropospheric ridges. Realistic challenges include an abrupt shift to warmer westerly flows from a weakening western disturbance, though ensemble probabilities assign <5% odds to 33°C+, per latest model runs. Traders eye IMD's evening update for confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 20?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 20?
32°C or below 100.0%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$85,586 Vol.
$85,586 Vol.
32°C or below
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
32°C or below 100.0%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$85,586 Vol.
$85,586 Vol.
32°C or below
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Lucknow's highest temperature on March 20 at 30-32°C, underpinned by persistent northerly winds suppressing heat advection and partly cloudy skies limiting solar insolation, fueling unanimous trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or below. Historical March maxima in Lucknow average 30.5°C, with deviations rarely exceeding 35°C before late month, aligning with current upper-air patterns showing stable mid-tropospheric ridges. Realistic challenges include an abrupt shift to warmer westerly flows from a weakening western disturbance, though ensemble probabilities assign <5% odds to 33°C+, per latest model runs. Traders eye IMD's evening update for confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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